Jake Odorizzi (3-5, 2.31 ERA) gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays (25-25) as they meet Chris Tillman (2-6, 5.59 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (23-25) in the last of a three-game series at Camden Yards. The Rays won the last game 3-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 31 and will air on SunSports and MASN.
Tillman is 5-7 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.10 WHIP against the Rays in his career. In his career against the Orioles, Odorizzi is 1-2 with a 4.25 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, and 27 strikeouts. David DeJesus (.328, 14 Rs, 4 HRs, 18 RBIs, 1 SB) has been doing well offensively for the Rays, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
Baltimore, a -121 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Tampa Bay. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at eight runs. The Orioles perform well as a favorite with a 16-10 record, but haven't fared as well with the overall money line (-194). Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (5-1). Within their division, Baltimore's offense has been playing lights out, averaging 4.7 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.3. As for the pitching staff, the Orioles are fifth in the AL in hits allowed with just 8.0 per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Rays come into this game with a win percentage of .480 when playing as the underdog (12-13) and an overall money line of -261. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 3-7 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-3 record. During the last 10 games, they averaged 2.4 runs per game, below their 3.7 season average. The Rays are the top pitching staff in the AL, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of 3.5 runs allowed per game. They have a WHIP of 1.15 on the year, good for tops in the league. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 8.5 strikeouts per game.
The Orioles have gotten the best of the Rays in head-to-head matchups this season, going 5-3. This game will feature Odorizzi (RHP) on the mound against the Orioles, who have a 19-19 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Tillman will take the mound against the Rays, who have a 19-17 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Under
The Orioles are 15-16 against their divisional rivals, while the Rays are 17-14 against their division.
Tampa Bay has won 50% (9-9) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Baltimore has won 55% (11-9) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Orioles are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Rays have a 5-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Rays are 3-16. The Orioles have a 4-16 record when opponents outhit them.
Tampa Bay ranks in the top half of the league at 14th when it comes to home runs, hitting 45 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 53.
Ranking 12th, Tampa Bay is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.08 per game. Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.53.
Ranking 21st, Tampa Bay is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.694). Baltimore ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .715.
The Rays are 10-17 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Orioles are 13-17 when they allow at least one homer.