Runs may be hard to come by in this one as Michael Lorenzen (1-1, 3.12 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (21-27) meet Tanner Roark (1-2, 2.49 ERA) and the Washington Nationals (28-21) in the last of a three-game series at the Great American Ball Park. The Reds won the last game 8-5 and Cincinnati leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 31 and will air on MASN2 and FSN-OH.
Lorenzen is up against a solid Washington offense that's hitting .257 on the year. Todd Frazier (.277, 32 Rs, 15 HRs, 29 RBIs, 6 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 4 with two runs. In his career against the Reds, Roark is 1-1 with a 1.38 ERA. He meets a struggling Cincinnati offense that's batting just .240. Bryce Harper (.329, 41 Rs, 18 HRs, 43 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Cincinnati, a +108 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Washington. Oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at eight runs. The Reds perform poorly as an underdog with a 9-18 record and have an overall money line of -782. They are 1-6 as the underdog over their last 10 games. They have been a terror on the base paths, leading all of baseball with 47 steals.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Nationals come into this game with a solid win percentage of .632 when playing as the favorite (24-14) and an overall money line of +284. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 7-3 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 6-2 record. The Nationals rank second in the NL in scoring, averaging 4.6 runs per game. Washington is one of the top road hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.0 hits per contest. Washington has an eye for the strike zone, ranking 3.3 in the NL with third walks per game. The Nationals are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.57 ERA this season.
The previous two games have all gone Cincinnati's way. This game will feature Roark (RHP) on the mound against the Reds, who have a 15-21 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Nationals will be the right-hander Cueto. They sport a 20-17 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - WSH, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Washington is 14-9, while Cincinnati is 7-12.
The Reds are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Nationals have a 6-9 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Reds have a slight leg up on the Nationals, as the Reds have won their last two games while the Nationals have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 14-5. The Nationals have a 19-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 26th in runs, Cincinnati has earned 183 this season. Washington ranks third with 226 runs.
Ranking 11th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 156 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 162.
The Reds are 18-14 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Nationals are 21-9 when they hit at least one homer.