In the last of a three-game series between the New York Mets (27-23) and the Miami Marlins (27-23) at Citi Field, Bartolo Colon (7-3, 4.82 ERA) and David Phelps (2-2, 3.56 ERA) get the start. The Marlins won the last game 9-5 and Miami leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 31 and will air on FSN-FL and PIX11.
Colon has a 3.42 ERA and a 4-3 record in his career against the Marlins, and faces a strong Miami offense that's hitting .259 on the year. Lucas Duda (.303, 30 Rs, 9 HRs, 25 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Mets, Phelps is 0-1 with a 5.73 ERA. He gets a struggling New York offense that's batting just .237. Dee Gordon (.374, 29 Rs, 14 RBIs, 20 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Marlins, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
New York is a -143 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Mets perform well as a favorite with a 22-5 record and have an overall money line of +469. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (4-1). The Mets rank fourth in the NL in ERA with a 3.31 team average. The Mets are third in the league in WHIP at 1.16. An area where the Mets are particularly strong at home is striking batters out, where they average 8.9 K's per home game.
Across the field, the Marlins have a subpar record of 9-14 when they are the underdog and are -1,276 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 3-7 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-3 record.
The Mets have mostly come out on top against the Marlins in their previous nine games this season, earning a 5-4 record. The Mets will take on a right-hander (Phelps) in this game and have a 23-16 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Marlins will be the right-hander Colon. Right-handed starters have been a big issue for them as they sport records of 6-14 on the road and 14-27 overall.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets hold a 20-11 record in matchups against NL East rivals, while the Marlins currently sit at 14-16 in these games.
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 13-8, while Miami is 8-14.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Marlins have a 6-12 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Marlins have a slight leg up on the Mets, as the Marlins have won their last two games while the Mets have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 16-9. The Mets have a 17-2 record when outhitting opponents.
New York and Miami both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. New York sits at 23rd with 188 runs this season and Miami ranks 21st with 191.
Ranking 21st, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 124 this season. New York ranks in the bottom half at 16th with 143.
The Mets are 17-8 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Marlins are 10-16 when they hit at least one homer.