Wandy Rodriguez (2-2, 3.60 ERA) and Joe Kelly (1-4, 6.24 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a four-game series between the Texas Rangers (25-25) and the Boston Red Sox (22-28) at Globe Life Park in Arlington. The Rangers won the last game 8-0 and Texas leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 3:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 31 and can be seen on NESN and FSN-SW.
Rodriguez pitched 5.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering three runs, striking out six and walking five in a 4-3 defeat to the Indians. Mitch Moreland (.300, 10 Rs, 5 HRs, 18 RBIs, 1 SB) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. When pitching against the Rangers, Kelly is 0-1 with a 1.50 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 10 strikeouts. Dustin Pedroia (.296, 19 Rs, 7 HRs, 21 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Texas is a -116 favorite against Boston and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. Though the Rangers have had a solid season in terms of their overall money line (+745), they've done poorly as a favorite with a record of 2-3. Texas is unbeaten as the favorite and has an 8-2 SU record in its last ten outings. The Rangers have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 6.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.5 runs per game. The Rangers have no trouble scoring as they rank fifth in the AL in offense with 4.5 runs per game. The Rangers are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 154.
In games where it is the underdog, Boston has a 9-10 record and an overall money line of -963. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-1 record when playing as the underdog. Boston is excellent at drawing walks with 3.4 per game, ranking second in the AL.
The Rangers lead the season series, 4-2. The Rangers have a 17-15 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Kelly takes the mound. Rodriguez (LHP) will be on the hill against the Red Sox, who have a 7-7 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TEX, O/U - Over
Texas won its last game in a shutout, its first of the season. Boston has been shut out three times this season.
When leading after 7 innings, Texas is 12-13, while Boston is 8-12.
The Rangers managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Red Sox who are coming in with a 10-5 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
It looks like the Rangers have a slight leg up on the Red Sox, as the Rangers have won their last two games while the Red Sox have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rangers are 19-3. The Red Sox have an 18-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 20th in runs, Boston has earned 192 this season. Texas ranks second with 229 runs.
Ranking 12th, Texas is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 154 this season. Boston ranks in the top five at third with 172.
When the Rangers hit at least one home run, they are 20-11. When the Red Sox hit at least one homer, they have a 17-15 record.