Jesse Chavez (1-5, 2.44 ERA) and Adam Warren (3-3, 3.91 ERA) take the hill in the last of a four-game series between the Oakland Athletics (19-33) and the New York Yankees (26-24) at O.C. Coliseum. The Yankees won the last game 5-3 and Oakland leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 31 and can be seen on YES, CSN-CA and MLB Network.
Chavez pitched 8.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs (one unearned), striking out four and walking two in a 1-0 defeat to the Tigers. Josh Reddick (.305, 22 Rs, 7 HRs, 31 RBIs, 2 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one RBI. Warren is 0-1 with a 2.19 ERA against the Athletics in his career. He takes on a quality Oakland offense that's batting .257. Alex Rodriguez (.276, 28 Rs, 11 HRs, 27 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Oakland is a -122 favorite against New York and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Athletics have recorded an overall money line of -1,847 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 12-20. Oakland is an impressive 4-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. Oakland's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 2.6 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.2. The Athletics are the fifth-best team in the AL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 7.8 hits per game to their opponents this season.
In games where it is the underdog, New York has a 11-13 record and an overall money line of -163. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-4 record when playing as the underdog. The Yankees can change the game with one swing of the bat, ranking second in the league with 63 home runs. New York is excellent at drawing walks with 3.3 per game, ranking fourth in the AL. The Yankees allow 4.3 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 5.6 runs per game during that span.
The Athletics lead the season series, 2-1. The Athletics have a 16-22 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Warren takes the mound. Chavez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Yankees, who have an 18-18 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
Oakland has won 30% (8-19) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 39% (9-14) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Athletics are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Yankees have a 5-3 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Athletics are 3-20. The Yankees have a 5-18 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 17th in home runs, Oakland has hit 45 this season. New York ranks second with 63 home runs.
Ranking 10th, New York is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.37 per game. Oakland ranks in the top five at third with 8.90.
Oakland and New York both rank in the top half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Oakland sits at 15th with an OPS of .710 and New York ranks 11th with an OPS of .728.
When the Yankees allow at least one home run, they are 14-18. When the Athletics allow one or more homers, they have a 4-21 record.