J.A. Happ (3-1, 3.71 ERA) and Danny Salazar (5-1, 3.65 ERA) take the hill in the last of a four-game series between the Seattle Mariners (24-25) and the Cleveland Indians (23-26) at Safeco Field. The Indians won the last game 4-3 and Cleveland leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 31 and can be seen on STO and ROOT-NW.
Happ pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out three and walking one in a 7-6 defeat to the Rays. Kyle Seager (.276, 21 Rs, 9 HRs, 29 RBIs, 1 SB) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3. Salazar went 5.2 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out six and walking three in a 4-3 defeat to the Rangers in his most recent start. Michael Brantley (.307, 21 Rs, 4 HRs, 29 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Seattle is a narrow -110 favorite at home against Cleveland. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of seven runs. The Mariners have an overall money line of -380 and a record as the favorite of 17-14. Seattle is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 7-3 SU record in its last ten outings. Opposing offenses that come to Safeco Field have been stifled by the Mariners, who have a team ERA of only 2.64 at home.
In games where it is the underdog, Cleveland has a 7-10 record and an overall money line of -856. Cleveland is excellent at drawing walks with an AL-best 3.8 per game. Cleveland's pitching staff is one of the top in the AL at pitching on the road, with a 3.55 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Indians are second in the AL on the road with an average of 7.5 hits allowed per away game. The Indians have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 9.7 strikeouts per game.
The Indians lead the season series, 2-1. The Mariners have a 19-19 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Salazar takes the mound. Happ (LHP) will be on the hill against the Indians, who have an 8-11 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CLE, O/U - Over
The Indians won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Mariners are 13-10. The Indians are 3-6 in close games this season.
When the Mariners play into extra innings, they have a 4-3 record. The Indians are 0-2 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Indians managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Mariners who are heading in with a 7-5 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 12-9. The Indians have an 18-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 26th in runs, Seattle has earned 183 this season. Cleveland ranks seventh with 219 runs.
Ranking first in walks, Cleveland has earned 189 this season. Seattle ranks 19th with 134 walks.
When the Mariners hit at least one home run, they are 21-15, well-matched with the Indians who are 18-13 when hitting one or more homers.