Madison Bumgarner (6-2, 3.00 ERA) and Julio Teheran (4-2, 4.91 ERA) take the hill in the last of a four-game series between the San Francisco Giants (30-21) and the Atlanta Braves (24-25) at AT&T Park. The Braves won the last game 8-0 and San Francisco leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 31 and can be seen on FSN-S and CSN-BAY.
Bumgarner is 4-3 with a 3.00 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, and 55 strikeouts against the Braves. Buster Posey (.301, 23 Rs, 8 HRs, 27 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs, one home run, and three RBIs. Teheran is 2-2 with a 3.86 ERA when pitching against the Giants. He takes on a quality San Francisco offense which is hitting .273 this season. Cameron Maybin (.266, 18 Rs, 5 HRs, 22 RBIs, 7 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Braves, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run, two RBIs, and one stolen base.
This one isn't expected to be close when San Francisco, a substantial -193 favorite, takes on Atlanta. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of six runs. The Giants have an overall money line of +926 and a record as the favorite of 14-12. The Giants have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.8 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.2 runs per game. The Giants lead the NL in hits with a phenomenal 9.5 per game. As for the pitchers, opposing offenses that come to AT&T Park have been stifled by the Giants, who have a team ERA of only 2.59 at home. The Giants are the fifth-best team in the NL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 8.4 hits per game so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Atlanta has a 15-20 record and an overall money line of +124. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-5 record, and a 5-5 record SU. Offensively, the Braves have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.9 runs per game by averaging 2.5 during that stretch. Atlanta is excellent at not striking out with an NL-low 6.7 per game. Shifting to the pitching staff and defense, the The Braves allow just four runs per road game, ranking them fifth in the NL.
The Giants lead the season series, 2-1. The Giants have a 22-17 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Teheran takes the mound. Bumgarner (LHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 2-4 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
Atlanta won its last game in a shutout, its fifth of the season. San Francisco has been shut out four times this season.
The Giants are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Braves are 1-1 in such matchups.
The Braves managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Giants who are heading in with a 10-7 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 18-6. The Giants have a 25-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 20th in runs, Atlanta has earned 195 this season. San Francisco ranks 14th with 209 runs.
San Francisco and Atlanta both rank in the top half of the league in walks. San Francisco sits at 14th with 149 this season and Atlanta ranks 15th with 147.
When the Giants hit at least one home run, they are 20-8, well-matched with the Braves who are 14-8 when hitting one or more homers.