In the last of a four-game series between the Los Angeles Angels (26-24) and the Detroit Tigers (26-24) at Angel Stadium, Matt Shoemaker (3-4, 5.44 ERA) and David Price (4-1, 2.97 ERA) get the start. The Angels won the last game 8-6 and Los Angeles can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. The game starts at 8:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 31 and will air on ESPN 2.
In his most recent outing, Shoemaker pitched 7.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out six and walking one in a 4-0 loss to the Padres. Mike Trout (.296, 38 Rs, 12 HRs, 26 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and one RBI. In his career against the Angels, Price is 4-4 with a 3.90 ERA. He meets a less-than-stellar Los Angeles offense that's batting just .238. Miguel Cabrera (.333, 27 Rs, 11 HRs, 34 RBIs, 1 SB) has been doing well offensively for the Tigers, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one RBI.
Los Angeles is a +111 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Angels are 10-10 as the underdog and have an overall money line of -209. Don't expect the Los Angeles hitters to swing wildly. They average only 7.1 strikeouts per game. Turning to the pitching staff, the Angels are fifth in the league in WHIP at 1.20. An area where the Angels are particularly strong at home is striking batters out, where they average 8.7 K's per home game.
On the other side, the Tigers have a record of 18-14 when they are favored and are +316 overall with the money line. The Tigers have racked up 45 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. The Tigers are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.87 ERA on the road this season. They also allow just 2.5 walks per game, good for third in the AL.
The previous three games have all gone Los Angeles's way. The Angels will take on a left-hander (Price) in this game. They have done very well against left-handed starting pitchers this season (7-4), especially at home where they have a 4-2 record. Taking the hill against the Tigers will be the right-hander Shoemaker. They sport a 20-17 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Over
Los Angeles has won 58% (14-10) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Detroit has won 67% (14-7) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Angels are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Tigers have a 2-1 record when opponents give up that many walks.
It looks like the Angels have a slight leg up on the Tigers, as the Angels have won their last three games while the Tigers have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Angels are 18-7. The Tigers have a 24-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 19th, Los Angeles is in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 197 this season. Detroit ranks in the top half at 13th with 212.
Ranking 22nd, Los Angeles is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 123 this season. Detroit ranks in the top five at fourth with 169.
The Angels are 18-13 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Tigers are 19-7 when they hit at least one homer.