Brett Oberholtzer (0-0, 3.00 ERA) and the Houston Astros (31-20) meet Ubaldo Jimenez (3-3, 3.14 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (23-26) in the first of a four-game series at Minute Maid Park. The game starts at 8:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 1 and will air on MASN2 and ROOT-SW.
In his most recent outing, Oberholtzer pitched 3.0 innings, giving up one run, striking out three and walking two in a 4-3 loss to the Giants. Jake Marisnick (.275, 18 Rs, 3 HRs, 16 RBIs, 10 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 3. In his pitching opportunities against the Astros, Jimenez is 4-0 with a 2.56 ERA. He meets a less-than-stellar Houston offense that's batting just .237.
Houston is a slight -110 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Astros are 12-10 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +1,193. The Astros are a dangerous hitting team with 165 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking third in all of baseball with 43 steals. Turning to the pitching staff, the Astros lead the league in WHIP at 1.15. An area where the Astros are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 7.8 K's per game.
Switching gears, the Orioles come into this game with a weak win percentage of .333 when playing as the underdog (7-14) and an overall money line of -331. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-3 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 5-5. The Orioles will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their 10 most recent games, Baltimore's run production has dropped to 3.0 runs per game, compared to 4.4 for the duration of the season. Switching gears to Baltimore's pitching staff, they average just 8.1 hits allowed per road game, fifth-best in the AL.
The Orioles are 2-1 against the Astros this season. The Astros will take on a right-hander (Jimenez) in this game. They have excelled against right-handed starting pitchers this season, going 19-11. Taking the hill against the Orioles will be the left-hander Oberholtzer. They sport a 4-5 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Over
Baltimore has won 52% (11-10) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Houston has won 61% (14-9) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Astros are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Orioles have a 2-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 4-17. The Astros have a 9-12 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking first in home runs, Houston has hit 68 this season. Baltimore ranks seventh with 57 home runs.
Ranking 14th, Houston is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.88 per game. Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 8.42.
Houston and Baltimore both rank in the top half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Houston sits at 13th with an OPS of .722 and Baltimore ranks 14th with an OPS of .721.
When the Orioles allow at least one home run, they are 13-18, well-matched with the Astros who are 12-13 when allowing at least one homer.