Phil Hughes (4-4, 4.59 ERA) and the Minnesota Twins (30-19) are in Boston to go up against Rick Porcello (4-4, 5.37 ERA) and the Red Sox (22-29) in a game that could have plenty of offense. This is the second of a four-game series at Fenway Park. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 2 and will air on FSN-N and NESN.
Porcello has a 4.10 ERA and an 8-8 record in his career against the Twins, and faces a strong Minnesota offense that's hitting .257 on the year. Hanley Ramirez (.261, 28 Rs, 12 HRs, 27 RBIs, 2 SBs) continued his strong season Sunday, going 2 for 5 with one run, one RBI, and one stolen base. In his pitching opportunities against the Red Sox, Hughes is 6-8 with a 5.14 ERA, 81 strikeouts and 28 walks. Brian Dozier (.258, 41 Rs, 9 HRs, 25 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Twins, going 3 for 4 Sunday with three runs.
Boston, a -138 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Minnesota. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Red Sox have a 13-19 record and overall money line at -1,207. Don't expect the Boston hitters to swing wildly. They average only 6.4 strikeouts per game.
Across the field, the Twins have a nice record of 24-16 when they are the underdog and are +1,726 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 8-2 SU and have played well as the underdog with an 8-1 record. The Twins rank third in the AL in scoring, averaging 4.6 runs per game. Minnesota is one of the top hitting teams in the AL with an average of 8.7 hits per contest. Minnesota's pitching staff has allowed an average of 3.0 runs per game during the last 10 games, lower than their season average of 4.2.
So far this season, the Twins are 3-0 against the Red Sox. The Red Sox will take on a right-hander (Hughes) in this game and have a 15-21 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Porcello will take the mound against the Twins, who have a 15-13 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIN, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Twins won by a margin of one run. The Red Sox are 8-7 in one-run games. The Twins have an 11-6 record in close games.
Boston has won 40% (8-12) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Minnesota has won 60% (9-6) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Red Sox are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Twins have a record of 15-4 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
It looks like the Twins have a slight leg up on the Red Sox, as the Twins have won their last two games while the Red Sox have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Red Sox are 18-3. The Twins have a 20-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st, Boston is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 195 this season. Minnesota ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 225.
Ranking 26th, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 118 this season. Boston ranks in the top five at fourth with 174.
The Red Sox are 17-15 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Twins are 24-4 when they hit at least one homer.