Collin McHugh (5-2, 4.24 ERA) and the Houston Astros (32-20) go up against Mike Wright (2-0, 1.40 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (23-27) in the second of a four-game series at Minute Maid Park. The Astros won the last game 5-2 and Houston leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 2 and will air on MASN2 and ROOT-SW.
In his most recent outing, McHugh pitched 6.0 innings, allowing four runs and striking out five in a 5-4 loss to the Orioles. Jose Altuve (.297, 24 Rs, 5 HRs, 26 RBIs, 15 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one RBI. The Orioles were victorious over the White Sox 6-3 the last time Wright pitched. He went 5.0 innings, allowing three runs and striking out two.
Houston, a -137 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Baltimore. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Astros have a 12-11 record and overall money line at +1,051. They are 1-3 as the favorite over their last 10 games. The Astros are a dangerous hitting team with 167 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. The Astros are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 44 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Astros lead the league in WHIP at 1.15. An area where the Astros are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 7.7 K's per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Orioles come into this game with a weak win percentage of .333 when playing as the underdog (7-14) and an overall money line of -434. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 4-6 SU and have a poor 0-3 record when they were an underdog to win. The Orioles will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their 10 most recent games, Baltimore's run production has dropped to 2.7 runs per game, compared to 4.3 for the duration of the season. Switching gears to Baltimore's pitching staff, they average just 8.1 hits allowed per road game, fifth-best in the AL.
The Astros will take on a right-hander (Wright) in this game. They have excelled against right-handed starting pitchers this season, going 19-11. Taking the hill against the Orioles will be the right-hander McHugh. They sport a 19-21 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Over
Baltimore has won 50% (11-11) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Houston has won 62% (15-9) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Astros are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Orioles have a 12-18 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 4-18. The Astros have a 9-12 record when opponents outhit them.
Houston ranks at the top of the league when it comes to home runs with 69 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 57.
Ranking 14th, Houston is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.92 per game. Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.45.
Houston and Baltimore both rank in the top half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Houston sits at 11th with an OPS of .724 and Baltimore ranks 14th with an OPS of .719.
When the Orioles allow at least one home run, they are 13-19, well-matched with the Astros who are 12-13 when allowing at least one homer.