Eduardo Rodriguez (1-0, 0.00 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (23-29) meet Phil Hughes (4-4, 4.59 ERA) and the Minnesota Twins (30-20) in the second of a four-game series at Fenway Park. The Red Sox won the last game 1-0 and Boston leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 3 and will air on FSN-N and NESN.
In his last start, Rodriguez pitched 7.2 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out seven and walking two in a 5-1 victory over the Rangers. Dustin Pedroia (.288, 19 Rs, 7 HRs, 21 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday. In his career against the Red Sox, Hughes is 6-8 with a 5.14 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, and 81 strikeouts. Torii Hunter (.278, 25 Rs, 7 HRs, 32 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Boston is a -156 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at nine runs. The Red Sox are 13-19 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -1,207. They typically aren't overmatched by pitchers, ranking second in the AL with an average of only 6.4 strikeouts per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Twins come into this game with a solid win percentage of .600 when playing as the underdog (24-16) and an overall money line of +1,726. They have played at the top of their game when rated as the underdog as of late. They managed an 8-1 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 8-2. The Twins rank third in the AL in scoring, averaging 4.6 runs per game. Minnesota is one of the top hitting teams in the AL with an average of 8.7 hits per contest. The last 10 games have really brought the best out of the Minnesota pitchers. They've allowed 3.0 runs per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 4.2.
The Twins are 3-1 against the Red Sox this season. This game will feature Hughes (RHP) on the mound against the Red Sox, who have a 15-21 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Rodriguez will take the mound against the Twins, who have a 15-13 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - BOS, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Twins lost by a margin of one run. The Red Sox are 9-7 in one-run games. The Twins have an 11-7 record in close games.
Boston has won 43% (9-12) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Minnesota has won 56% (9-7) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Red Sox are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Twins have a 7-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 4-25. The Twins have a 5-19 record when opponents outhit them.
Minnesota ranks near the bottom of the league at 25th when it comes to home runs, hitting 39 this season. Boston ranks in the top half at 13th with 49.
Ranking 11th, Boston is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.22 per game. Minnesota ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.69.
Ranking 22nd, Boston is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.683). Minnesota ranks in the bottom half at 19th with an OPS of .693.
When the Twins allow at least one home run, they are 17-14. When the Red Sox allow one or more homers, they have an 8-25 record.