In the last of a three-game series between the St. Louis Cardinals (34-18) and the Milwaukee Brewers (34-18) at Busch Stadium, John Lackey (3-3, 2.83 ERA) and Jimmy Nelson (2-5, 3.90 ERA) get the start. The Cardinals won the last game 1-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 1:45 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 3 and will air on FSN-WI and FSN-MW.
Lackey has a 3.86 ERA and a 3-1 record in his career against the Brewers, and faces a struggling Milwaukee offense that's hitting just .227 on the year. In his pitching opportunities against the Cardinals, Nelson is 0-3 with a 10.24 ERA. He gets a solid St. Louis offense that's batting .266. Ryan Braun (.258, 30 Rs, 12 HRs, 38 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
St. Louis is a -157 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Cardinals perform well as a favorite with a 27-9 record and have an overall money line of +1,271. They are 5-2 as the favorite over their last 10 games. St. Louis has averaged 2.8 runs per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 4.1. The Cardinals are a superb hitting team with 9.2 hits per game, one of the highest marks in the NL. The Cardinals typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an impressive 3.2 walks per game. Turning to the pitching staff, the Cardinals lead the NL in ERA with a 2.70 team average. The Cardinals don't give up many hits to opposing batters, ranking third in the NL with only 8.2 hits allowed per game.
On the other side, the Brewers have a subpar record of 13-20 when they are the underdog and are -1,558 overall with the money line. Against divisional foes, they are 10-16 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 7-11 record. Playing against NL Central foes really brings the best out of the Milwaukee pitchers. They allow 4.5 runs per game against teams within their division, which is lower than their season average of 5.0.
The Cardinals have mostly come out on top against the Brewers in their previous eight games this season, earning a 5-3 record. The Cardinals will take on a right-hander (Nelson) in this game. They have done very well against right-handed starting pitchers this season (27-13), especially at home where they have a 17-4 record. Taking the hill against the Brewers will be the right-hander Lackey. Right-handed starters have been a big issue for them as they sport a 13-27 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
The Cardinals sit at 18-8 against the division, while the Brewers are struggling at 10-17.
St. Louis earned its sixth shutout of the season in its last game. Milwaukee has been shut out five times this season.
The Cardinals are 5-3 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Brewers are 2-2 in such matchups.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Brewers are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Cardinals have a 6-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Cardinals are 23-7. The Brewers have an 11-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 27th in runs, Milwaukee has earned 194 this season. St. Louis ranks 17th with 210 runs.
Ranking 23rd, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 126 this season. St. Louis ranks in the top half at 11th with 164.
When the Cardinals hit at least one home run, they are 22-6. When the Brewers hit at least one homer, they have a 16-13 record.