Dan Haren (5-2, 3.03 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (21-32) square off against Jon Lester (4-3, 3.30 ERA) and the Chicago Cubs (27-23) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the last of a three-game series at Marlins Park. The Marlins won the last game 5-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 3 and can be seen on WPWR and FSN-FL.
Haren is 2-3 with a 5.71 ERA in his appearances against the Cubs, but goes up against a below-average Chicago offense which is batting just .239 this season. Dee Gordon (.367, 30 Rs, 14 RBIs, 20 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. Lester is 0-1 with a 3.60 ERA against the Marlins in his career. He is up against a quality Miami offense that's batting .257. Anthony Rizzo (.317, 28 Rs, 9 HRs, 31 RBIs, 9 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Chicago takes on Miami as a -128 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Marlins have recorded an overall money line of -1,365 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 10-16. Miami has recorded a disappointing 2-5 record as the underdog over its last 10 games.
In games where it is the favorite, Chicago has a 18-13 record and an overall money line of +191. The Cubs are an excellent base stealing team with 43 stolen bases, ranking fifth in the MLB. Chicago's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.61 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Cubs are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.19 for the season. The Cubs have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.9 strikeouts per game.
The Marlins have a great 6-3 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Lester takes the mound. Haren (RHP) will be on the hill against the Cubs, who have a 23-19 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CHC, O/U - Over
Miami has won 36% (9-16) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Chicago has won 54% (13-11) of its games when taking a late lead.
After a weak showing last week where they got in eight hits, the Marlins need to step it up. The Cubs have a record of 17-8 when opponents get eight hits or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 3-20. The Cubs have a 6-18 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami ranks near the bottom of the league at 26th when it comes to home runs, hitting 38 this season. Chicago ranks in the top half at 13th with 49.
Ranking 11th, Chicago is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.20 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.81.
Ranking 25th, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.676). Chicago ranks in the bottom half at 17th with an OPS of .702.
The Cubs are 15-17 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Marlins are 9-18 when they allow at least one homer.