Lance McCullers (1-0, 2.40 ERA) and the Houston Astros (33-20) meet Miguel Gonzalez (5-3, 3.48 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (23-28) in the third of a four-game series at Minute Maid Park. The Astros won the last game 6-4 and Houston leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 8:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 3 and will air on MASN2 and ROOT-SW.
In his last start, McCullers pitched 4.1 innings, giving up one, striking out seven and walking two in a 6-3 loss to the White Sox. Jose Altuve (.300, 25 Rs, 5 HRs, 26 RBIs, 15 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. In his career against the Astros, Gonzalez is 1-2 with a 3.47 ERA. He gets a struggling Houston offense that's batting just .239. Manny Machado (.269, 28 Rs, 8 HRs, 23 RBIs, 7 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Houston, a -123 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Baltimore. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Astros have a 14-11 record and overall money line at +1,251. The Astros are a dangerous hitting team with 170 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking fourth in all of baseball with 44 steals. Turning to the pitching staff, the Astros rank fifth in the AL in home ERA with a 3.44 team average. The Astros are second in the league in WHIP at 1.15. The have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, averaging 7.7 strikeouts per game.
On the other side, the Orioles have a subpar record of 7-16 when they are the underdog and are -643 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 4-6 SU and have a poor 0-3 record when they were an underdog to win. The Orioles will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their 10 most recent games, Baltimore's run production has dropped to 3.1 runs per game, compared to 4.3 for the duration of the season. Shifting to the pitching staff, they average just 8.1 hits allowed per road game, fifth-best in the AL.
The Astros are 3-2 against the Orioles this season. The Astros will take on a right-hander (Gonzalez) in this game. They have excelled against right-handed starting pitchers this season, going 21-11. Taking the hill against the Orioles will be the right-hander McCullers. They sport a 19-22 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Houston is 15-9, while Baltimore is 11-11.
The Astros are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Orioles have a 12-19 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Astros have a slight leg up on the Orioles, as the Astros have won their last two games while the Orioles have lost their last four.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 17-6. The Astros have a 21-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 16th in runs, Baltimore has earned 213 this season. Houston ranks sixth with 230 runs.
Ranking 22nd, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 127 this season. Houston ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 172.
The Astros are 25-11 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Orioles are 19-14 when they hit at least one homer.