This game could be low scoring as Edinson Volquez (4-3, 2.95 ERA) and the Kansas City Royals (30-20) go up against Trevor Bauer (4-2, 2.97 ERA) and the Cleveland Indians (25-27) in the last of a three-game series at Kauffman Stadium. The Royals won the last game 4-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 4 and will air on STO and FSN-KC.
In his most recent outing, Volquez pitched 5.2 innings, allowing three runs, striking out nine and walking one in an 8-4 loss to the Cubs. Eric Hosmer (.305, 31 Rs, 7 HRs, 33 RBIs, 3 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. In his career against the Royals, Bauer is 0-1 with a 4.22 ERA. He meets a solid Kansas City offense that's batting .276. Jason Kipnis (.332, 38 Rs, 5 HRs, 25 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Kansas City is a -119 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Royals perform well as a favorite with a 16-10 record and have an overall money line of +834. They are 3-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games. The Royals will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In the last 10 games, Kansas City has only averaged 3.0 runs per game compared to the 4.6 they've averaged on the season. The Royals have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire AL, averaging 4.6 runs per game. The Royals lead the AL in hits with 9.5 per game. As for the Kansas City defense and pitching staff, teams routinely struggle to score runs against the Royals, who allow an AL-low 2.8 runs per home game. The Royals don't give up many hits at home to opposing batters at Kauffman Stadium, leading the AL with only 7.1 hits allowed per home game.
Switching gears, the Indians come into this game with a win percentage of .474 when playing as the underdog (9-10) and an overall money line of -526. Against teams in their division, they are 11-17 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 5-6 record. The Indians are known for their bats, hitting 160 extra base hits. The Indians average 3.9 walks per game, making them the most disciplined team in the AL. Cleveland's pitching staff and defense as a whole has been firing on all cylinders so far, averaging an AL-best three runs allowed per road game.
The Royals have mostly come out on top against the Indians in their previous eight games this season, earning a 5-3 record. The Royals will take on a right-hander (Bauer) in this game and have a 19-14 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Indians will be the right-hander Volquez. They sport a 15-15 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
The Indians are struggling at 11-18 in their division, while the Royals sit at 16-11.
The Royals are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Indians are 1-2 in such matchups.
The Indians are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Royals have an 8-10 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Indians are 20-4. The Royals have a 26-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Both Kansas City and Cleveland are tied at 11th in runs, each scoring 229 this season.
Ranking first in walks, Cleveland has earned 199 this season. Kansas City ranks 30th with 104 walks.
When the Royals hit at least one home run, they are 19-8, well-matched with the Indians who are 20-13 when hitting one or more homers.