This game could be low scoring as Dallas Keuchel (7-1, 1.76 ERA) and the Houston Astros (34-20) meet Wei-Yin Chen (1-4, 3.21 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (23-29) in the last of a four-game series at Minute Maid Park. The Orioles lost the last game 3-1, extending a five-game losing streak. Houston can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. The game starts at 2:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 4 and will air on MASN, ROOT-SW and MLB Net.
In his last start, Keuchel pitched 9.0 innings, allowing zero runs and striking out 11 in a 3-0 victory over the White Sox. George Springer (.231, 26 Rs, 8 HRs, 19 RBIs, 11 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run, one home run, and one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Astros, Chen is 3-0 with a 3.28 ERA. He gets a less-than-stellar Houston offense that's batting just .237. Adam Jones (.297, 24 Rs, 6 HRs, 26 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Houston, a -145 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Baltimore. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Astros have a 14-11 record and overall money line at +1,251. The Astros are a dangerous hitting team with 173 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking fourth in all of baseball with 44 steals. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Astros don't allow many hitters to get on base, leading the league with a 1.13 WHIP. An area where the Astros are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 7.7 K's per game.
On the other side, the Orioles have a subpar record of 7-16 when they are the underdog and are -643 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 4-6 SU and have a poor 0-3 record when they were an underdog to win. During the last 10 games, they averaged 3.1 runs per game, below their 4.2 season average. Switching gears to Baltimore's pitching staff, they average just 8.1 hits allowed per road game, fifth-best in the AL.
The Astros have mostly come out on top against the Orioles in their previous six games this season, earning a 4-2 record. This game will feature Chen (LHP) on the mound against the Astros, who have a 12-9 record when they take on a left-handed starter. The left-handed Keuchel will take the mound against the Orioles, who have a 4-6 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Houston is 15-9, while Baltimore is 11-11.
The Astros are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Orioles have a 1-8 record when opponents give up that many walks.
It looks like the Astros have a slight leg up on the Orioles, as the Astros have won their last three games while the Orioles have lost their last five.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 17-6. The Astros have a 21-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 19th in runs, Baltimore has earned 214 this season. Houston ranks sixth with 233 runs.
Ranking 24th, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 127 this season. Houston ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 172.
The Astros are 26-11 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Orioles are 19-14 when they hit at least one homer.