Aaron Harang (4-5, 2.02 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (21-33) go up against Anthony DeSclafani (3-4, 3.41 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (22-29) in the last of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies won the last game 5-4 and Philadelphia leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 4 and will air on FSN-OH, CSN-PHI and MLB Net.
Harang is 3-1 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.29 WHIP against the Reds in his career. In his career against the Phillies, DeSclafani is 1-1 with a 7.94 ERA. He meets a less-than-stellar Philadelphia offense that's batting just .236. Joey Votto (.293, 24 Rs, 10 HRs, 28 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 3 for 6 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
Philadelphia is favored by a small -109 margin in its matchup against Cincinnati. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at seven runs. The Phillies have a losing record of 2-5 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of -936. They have a winless record (0-3) in games played as the favorite during their last 10 games. They typically aren't overmatched by pitchers, ranking fourth in the NL with an average of only 6.5 strikeouts per home game. As for the pitching staff, the Phillies don't give up many hits to opposing batters at Citizens Bank Park, ranking fifth in the NL with only 8.4 hits allowed per home game.
On the other side, the Reds have a subpar record of 10-18 when they are the underdog and are -743 overall with the money line. Cincinnati is a terror on the base paths, with an MLB-best 53 stolen bases. Shifting to the pitching staff, they average just 8.3 hits allowed per game, fifth-best in the NL.
So far this season, the Phillies are 2-0 against the Reds. This game will feature DeSclafani (RHP) on the mound against the Phillies, who have a 16-27 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Reds will be the right-hander Harang. They sport a 16-22 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN, O/U - Under
The Reds lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Phillies are 8-8. The Reds are 8-10 in close games this season.
Philadelphia has won 35% (9-17) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Cincinnati has won 40% (8-12) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Phillies managed to give up seven walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Reds who are coming in with a 2-2 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
It looks like the Phillies have a slight leg up on the Reds, as the Phillies have won their last two games while the Reds have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 15-7. The Phillies have a 14-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia is at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 167 this season. Cincinnati ranks near the bottom at 26th with 199.
Ranking 27th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 121 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top half at 11th with 169.
When the Phillies hit at least one home run, they are 11-12. When the Reds hit at least one homer, they have a 19-15 record.