Kyle Gibson (4-3, 2.61 ERA) gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins (32-21) as they go up against Kyle Lohse (3-6, 6.50 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (18-36) in the first of a three-game series at Target Field. The game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 5 and will air on FSN-WI and FSN-N.
In his last start, Gibson pitched 5.2 innings, allowing one, striking out three and walking four in a 3-2 loss to the Blue Jays. Brian Dozier (.263, 44 Rs, 10 HRs, 26 RBIs, 3 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 5 with two runs. In his pitching opportunities against the Twins, Lohse is 0-1 with an 11.57 ERA, zero strikeouts and one walk. Adam Lind (.281, 19 Rs, 8 HRs, 25 RBIs) has been doing well, going 2 for 5 Wednesday with two RBIs.
Minnesota, a -134 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Milwaukee. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at eight runs. The Twins perform well as a favorite with a 6-3 record and have an overall money line of +1,659. They have a winless record (0-1) in games played as the favorite during their last 10 games. The Twins come into the game with the fifth-ranked scoring offense in the AL, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Turning to the pitching and defensive side, teams routinely struggle to score runs against the Twins, who allow only 4.1 runs per game. The Twins don't give up many walks to opposing batters, ranking second in the AL with only 2.3 walks allowed per game.
On the other side, the Brewers have a subpar record of 13-22 when they are the underdog and are -1,758 overall with the money line. When playing AL opponents, they have a 1-1 as the favorite and 3-3 SU. Milwaukee has stepped up their play against interleague opponents averaging an impressive 4.5 runs per game compared to their 3.7 runs per game season average. The Brewers average just 7.8 strikeouts per road game, one of the lowest marks in the NL. Playing competition from the AL really brings the best out of the Milwaukee pitchers. They allow 3.8 runs per game against teams in the AL, which is lower than their season average of 4.9.
This game will feature Lohse (RHP) on the mound against the Twins, who have a 16-14 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Brewers will be the right-hander Gibson. Right-handed starters have been a big issue for them as they sport a 13-29 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIN, O/U - Over
Minnesota recorded at least two errors for the eighth time this season.
When the Twins play into extra innings, they have a 3-1 record. The Brewers are 2-2 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Brewers are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Twins have a 16-18 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 6-28. The Twins have a 6-20 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 23rd in home runs, Minnesota has hit 42 this season. Milwaukee ranks 14th with 51 home runs.
Ranking 15th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.76 per game. Minnesota ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.44.
Minnesota and Milwaukee both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Minnesota sits at 22nd with an OPS of .687 and Milwaukee ranks 28th with an OPS of .659.
The Brewers are 10-25 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Twins are 18-15 when they allow at least one homer.