In the first of a three-game series between the Cleveland Indians (26-27) and the Baltimore Orioles (26-27) at Progressive Field, Shaun Marcum (2-0, 5.49 ERA) and Chris Tillman (2-7, 5.94 ERA) get the ball. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 5 and will air on MASN and STO.
Marcum is 4-2 with a 4.33 ERA and 1.46 WHIP against the Orioles in his career. Jason Kipnis (.330, 39 Rs, 5 HRs, 26 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one RBI, and one stolen base. In his pitching opportunities against the Indians, Tillman is 2-2 with a 5.19 ERA, 17 strikeouts and 11 walks. Adam Jones (.307, 26 Rs, 7 HRs, 27 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 3 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and one RBI.
Cleveland is a -125 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Indians are 16-17 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -647. The Indians are a dangerous hitting team with 164 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. They have been very patient at the plate, leading the AL with an average of 3.8 walks per game. Turning to the pitching staff, an area where the Indians are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average an AL-best 9.7 K's per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Orioles come into this game with a weak win percentage of .320 when playing as the underdog (8-17) and an overall money line of -587. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-4 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 4-6. During the last 10 games, they averaged 3.0 runs per game, below their 4.1 season average.
This game will feature Tillman (RHP) on the mound against the Indians, who have a 15-15 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Orioles will be the right-hander Marcum. They sport a 19-23 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - CLE, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Orioles won by a margin of one run. The Indians are 4-6 in one-run games. The Orioles have an 8-8 record in close games.
When the Orioles play into extra innings, they have a 1-1 record. The Indians are 1-2 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Orioles managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Indians who are heading in with a 16-11 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 18-6. The Indians have a 21-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 18th, Baltimore sits in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 217 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 235.
Ranking first in walks, Cleveland has earned 202 this season. Baltimore ranks 23rd with 129 walks.
When the Indians hit at least one home run, they are 21-13. When the Orioles hit at least one homer, they have a 20-14 record.