In a game that has the potential for a lot of runs, Matt Garza (3-7, 5.52 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (19-36) are in Minnesota to take on Ricky Nolasco (5-1, 5.51 ERA) and the Twins (32-22). This is the second of a three-game series at Target Field. The Brewers won the last game 10-5 and Milwaukee leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 2:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 6 and can be seen on FSN-WI and FSN-N.
Nolasco is 3-3 with a 7.20 ERA in his appearances against the Brewers, but goes up against a below-average Milwaukee offense which is batting just .231 this season. Brian Dozier (.262, 45 Rs, 10 HRs, 27 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run and one RBI. Against the Twins, Garza is 1-1 with a 1.77 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 23 strikeouts. Adam Lind (.290, 21 Rs, 9 HRs, 31 RBIs) has been successful at the plate, going 3 for 5 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and six RBIs.
The odds for Minnesota and Milwaukee are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at eight runs. In interleague play, the Twins have a 2-0 record SU. The Twins have no trouble scoring as they rank fifth in the AL in offense with 4.5 runs per game. Turning to the pitching and defensive side, it's been a struggle for opposing teams to score runs against the Twins. The 4.1 runs that Minnesota's pitchers allow per game makes them the fifth-ranked staff in the AL. The Twins are the top team in the AL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.3 walks per game so far this season.
Milwaukee is 3-3 SU against teams in the AL. Offensively, the Brewers have really picked up the pace in interleague games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.7 runs per game by averaging 4.5 in those contests. Milwaukee is excellent at not striking out n the road with just 7.8 per game, ranking fifth in the NL. The Brewers allow 4.9 runs per game, but does better whenever an AL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 3.8 against teams from the AL.
The Brewers have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Twins have a 17-14 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Garza takes the mound.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIN, O/U - Over
For the ninth time this season, the Twins registered at least two errors in a game.
The Twins are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Brewers are 2-2 in such matchups.
The Brewers are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 10 runs. The Twins have a 0-6 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 12-4. The Twins have a 21-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 25th, Milwaukee sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 208 this season. Minnesota ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 243.
Minnesota and Milwaukee both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Minnesota sits at 24th with 129 this season and Milwaukee ranks 26th with 128.
The Twins are 25-6 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Brewers are 17-14 when they hit at least one homer.