Kyle Kendrick (2-7, 6.55 ERA) and David Phelps (2-2, 3.50 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Colorado Rockies (24-29) and the Miami Marlins (23-32) at Coors Field. The Marlins won the last game 6-2 and Miami leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 6 and can be seen on FSN-FL and ROOT-RM.
Kendrick is 14-3 with a 3.45 ERA in his appearances against the Marlins, and goes up against a good Miami offense which is batting .261 this season. Against the Rockies, Phelps is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA, 0.67 WHIP, and four strikeouts. Giancarlo Stanton (.235, 33 Rs, 18 HRs, 47 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Miami is a slim -110 favorite over Colorado. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of 11 runs. The Rockies have an overall money line of -107 and a record as the underdog of 19-19. Colorado has gone 7-3 in its last 10 as underdog. The Rockies have no trouble scoring as they lead the NL in home offense with 5.2 runs per home game. The Rockies lead the NL in hits at home with a phenomenal 10.2 per game. Colorado strikes out the least of any team in the NL at home, with only 6.1 per game.
In games where it is the favorite, Miami has a 11-16 record and an overall money line of -1,153. They have managed to pull off a perfect record over their last ten games playing as the favorite, and have a 5-5 SU record over the same span. The Marlins are tough outs for opponents, ranking fifth in the NL with 8.9 hits per game. When it comes to issuing walks on the road, the Marlins have the fifth-fewest in the NL with an average of just 2.8 walks allowed per game.
The Marlins have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Rockies have a 21-20 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Phelps takes the mound. Kendrick (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have inferior records against right-handed starting pitchers on the road and overall of 6-15 and 15-29, respectively.
Predictions: SU Winner - COL, O/U - Over
Miami has won 36% (9-16) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Colorado has won 50% (10-10) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Rockies are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Marlins have a 10-22 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 3-20. The Rockies have a 4-18 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 25th in home runs, Miami has hit 41 this season. Colorado ranks seventh with 59 home runs.
Colorado and Miami both rank in the top five of the league in hits. Colorado sits at third with 9.31 hits per game and Miami ranks fifth with 8.89.
Ranking 21st, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.687). Colorado ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .749.
The Marlins are 10-18 when they allow at least one home run. The Rockies perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 10-19 record.