Sean O Sullivan (1-4, 5.03 ERA) and Ryan Vogelsong (4-3, 4.26 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (21-36) and the San Francisco Giants (32-25) at Citizens Bank Park. The Giants won the last game 7-5 and San Francisco leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 7 and can be seen on CSN-BAY and CSN-PHI.
O Sullivan is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA in his appearances against the Giants, but goes up against a good San Francisco offense which is batting .273 this season. Ryan Howard (.239, 19 Rs, 11 HRs, 27 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Vogelsong is 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA against the Phillies in his career. He is up against a below-average Philadelphia offense that's batting just .235. Brandon Crawford (.292, 28 Rs, 8 HRs, 38 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
San Francisco takes on Philadelphia as a -129 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Phillies have recorded an overall money line of -1,036 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 18-30. Philadelphia has recorded a disappointing 1-5 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. Philadelphia's batters do not strike out very often, with only 7.1 per game.
In games where it is the favorite, San Francisco has a 15-15 record and an overall money line of +353. Offensively, they average five runs per game on the road, which is the best in the NL. The Giants capitalize on their at-bats at a high percentage, leading the league with a .273 team batting average. San Francisco is excellent at not striking out with just 7.0 per game, ranking second in the NL. Moving on to San Francisco's pitching staff and defense, the The Giants allow just 4.0 runs per game, ranking them fifth in the NL. When it comes to issuing walks, the Giants have the fifth-fewest in the NL with an average of just 2.8 walks allowed per game.
The Giants have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Phillies have a bad 17-29 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Vogelsong takes the mound. O Sullivan (RHP) will be on the hill against the Giants, who have a 23-21 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Under
Philadelphia has won 32% (9-19) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, San Francisco has won 56% (9-7) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Phillies are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 10 strikeouts. The Giants have a record of 6-5 when they are struck out that many times or more.
It looks like the Giants have a slight leg up on the Phillies, as the Giants have won their last two games while the Phillies have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 14-5. The Giants have a 27-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia is at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 180 this season. San Francisco ranks in the top half at 12th with 235.
Ranking 27th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 128 this season. San Francisco ranks in the top half at 15th with 164.
The Phillies are 11-14 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Giants are 21-10 when they hit at least one homer.