Runs may be hard to come by in this one as Alex Wood (4-2, 3.19 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (27-28) meet Gerrit Cole (8-2, 1.90 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (30-25) in the last of a three-game series at Turner Field. The Braves won the last game 5-4 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 7 and will air on ROOT-PIT and FSN-S.
In his most recent outing, Wood pitched 0.0 inning, allowing zero runs in a 10-8 loss to the Pirates. Cameron Maybin (.286, 22 Rs, 5 HRs, 26 RBIs, 9 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one RBI, and one stolen base. In his pitching opportunities against the Braves, Cole is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA. He gets a solid Atlanta offense that's batting .255. Andrew McCutchen (.294, 33 Rs, 8 HRs, 37 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
Atlanta is a +128 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. When playing as the underdog, the Braves have an 18-23 record and overall money line at +243.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Pirates come into this game with a solid win percentage of .649 when playing as the favorite (24-13) and an overall money line of +248. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 8-2 SU and have an unblemished 6-0 record when they were the favorite. Pittsburgh has been playing better lately, averaging 5.5 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.3.
The Braves will take on a right-hander (Cole) in this game and have a 23-24 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Wood will take the mound against the Pirates, who have a 3-4 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Pirates lost by a margin of one run. The Braves are 10-10 in one-run games. The Pirates have a 7-11 record in close games.
The Braves are 1-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Pirates are 0-6 in such matchups.
The Pirates are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Braves have an 11-15 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 21-8. The Pirates have a 21-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling in the top half of the league based on total runs this season, Atlanta ranks 14th with 237 runs and Pittsburgh is 13th with 238.
Ranking 22nd, Pittsburgh is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 135 this season. Atlanta ranks in the bottom half at 16th with 163.
When the Braves hit at least one home run, they are 17-9, well-matched with the Pirates who are 20-13 when hitting one or more homers.