Jacob deGrom (6-4, 2.41 ERA) starts for the New York Mets (30-27) as they square off against Josh Collmenter (3-5, 5.03 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (27-28) in the last of a four-game series at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks won the last game 2-1 and Arizona leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 7 and can be seen on SNY and FSN-AZ.
Collmenter is 2-2 with a 4.50 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, and 19 strikeouts against the Mets. deGrom went 8.0 innings, surrendering zero runs and striking out eight in a 7-0 win over the Padres in his most recent start. Michael Cuddyer (.273, 26 Rs, 6 HRs, 24 RBIs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
New York is a narrow -114 favorite over Arizona. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of eight runs. The Diamondbacks have an overall money line of +39 and a record as the underdog of 17-19. The Diamondbacks have no trouble scoring as they rank second in the NL in home offense with 5.1 runs per game. Arizona is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 52 bases.
As for their opponent, New York is coming in with an overall money line of +352 and an impressive record of 24-6 as the favorite. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.16 for the season.
The Diamondbacks lead the season series, 2-1. The Diamondbacks have a 20-21 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when deGrom takes the mound. Collmenter (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 26-20 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ARI, O/U - Over
The Mets lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Diamondbacks are 11-10. The Mets are 10-9 in close games this season.
The Mets are 2-0 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks are 4-4 in such matchups.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Mets are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Diamondbacks have a 9-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Diamondbacks are 7-20. The Mets have a 9-21 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 19th in home runs, New York has hit 48 this season. Arizona ranks 13th with 54 home runs.
Arizona ranks at the top of the league when it comes to hits with 9.59 per game this season. New York ranks in the top half at 13th with 7.93.
Ranking 27th, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.673). Arizona ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .733.
The Mets are 12-19 when they allow at least one home run. The Diamondbacks perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 15-23 record.