Mike Montgomery (0-0, 1.50 ERA) and Chris Archer (6-4, 2.01 ERA) start in the last of a four-game series between the Seattle Mariners (25-31) and the Tampa Bay Rays (30-27) at Safeco Field. The Mariners won the last game 2-1 and Tampa Bay leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 7 and can be seen on SunSports and ROOT-NW.
Montgomery pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one run, striking out four and walking two in a 5-3 defeat to the Yankees. Nelson Cruz (.326, 32 Rs, 18 HRs, 39 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4. Archer is 0-2 with a 2.70 ERA against the Mariners in his career. He takes on a below-average Seattle offense that's batting just .238.
Tampa Bay takes on Seattle as a -131 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Mariners have recorded an overall money line of -1,198 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 7-11. Seattle has gone winless (0-2) as the underdog and 2-8 SU in its last 10 outings. The Mariners have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.1 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.5 runs per game. Turning to the pitchers, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Mariners, who have a team ERA of only 3.65.
In games where it is the favorite, Tampa Bay has a 13-12 record and an overall money line of +289. Tampa Bay's pitching staff has set the standard for its league, with an AL-low 3.29 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Rays are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.18 for the season. The Rays have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 8.6 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Mariners lead the season series, 4-2. The Mariners have a 19-25 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Archer takes the mound. Montgomery (LHP) will be on the hill against the Rays, who have a 10-8 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB, O/U - Under
In their last game, the Rays lost by a margin of one run. The Mariners are 14-12 in one-run games. The Rays have an 8-11 record in close games.
When the Rays play into extra innings, they have a 2-2 record. The Mariners are 4-5 when their games exceed nine innings.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Rays are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Mariners have an 11-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 13-11. The Rays have a 21-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Seattle and Tampa Bay both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. Seattle sits at 29th with 195 runs this season and Tampa Bay ranks 27th with 211.
Seattle and Tampa Bay both rank in the bottom half of the league in walks. Seattle sits at 19th with 155 this season and Tampa Bay ranks 17th with 159.
When the Mariners hit at least one home run, they are 22-15. When the Rays hit at least one homer, they have a 21-14 record.