Shelby Miller (5-2, 1.89 ERA) takes the hill for the Atlanta Braves (27-29) as they square off against Ian Kennedy (3-5, 6.60 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (29-29) in the first of a four-game series at Turner Field. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 8 and can be seen on FSN-SD and SPSO.
Miller pitched 0.0 inning in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs in a 10-8 defeat to the Pirates. Cameron Maybin (.296, 22 Rs, 5 HRs, 26 RBIs, 9 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 3 for 5. When pitching against the Braves, Kennedy is 2-0 with a 3.54 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, and 39 strikeouts.
Atlanta is a -129 favorite against San Diego and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Braves have recorded an overall money line of +343 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 9-5. Atlanta is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 5-5 SU record in its last ten outings. The Braves have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.5 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.3 runs per game.
In the other locker room, in contrast to an encouraging overall money line (+70), San Diego has an unimpressive 11-19 record when playing as the underdog. Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is third in the NL. San Diego is excellent at drawing walks with 3.0 per road game, ranking fifth in the NL.
The Braves have a 23-24 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Kennedy takes the mound. Miller (RHP) will be on the hill against the Padres, who have a 21-23 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, San Diego is 18-12, while Atlanta is 11-21.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Padres are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Braves have a 5-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 21-8. The Padres have a 21-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 14th in runs, Atlanta has earned 237 this season. San Diego ranks fifth with 254 runs.
Ranking 21st, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 149 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 15th with 167.
When the Braves hit at least one home run, they are 17-9, well-matched with the Padres who are 20-8 when hitting one or more homers.