Mike Leake (2-4, 4.40 ERA) and Cole Hamels (5-4, 2.88 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (24-31) and the Philadelphia Phillies (22-36) at the Great American Ball Park. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 8 and can be seen on CSN-PHI and FSN-OH.
Leake is 1-3 with a 6.43 ERA in his appearances against the Phillies, but goes up against a below-average Philadelphia offense which is batting just .236 this season. Joey Votto (.295, 28 Rs, 10 HRs, 31 RBIs, 5 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. Against the Reds, Hamels is 9-0 with a 1.59 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and 82 strikeouts. Ryan Howard (.245, 20 Rs, 11 HRs, 27 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the Phillies, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Philadelphia is a narrow -107 favorite over Cincinnati. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of seven runs. The Reds have recorded an overall money line of -843 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 10-21. The Reds have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.2 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.0 runs per game. Cincinnati leads the MLB in steals, swiping 54 bases. Turning to the pitchers, the Reds are the fourth-best team in the NL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 8.3 hits per game so far this season.
In the other locker room, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -1,136 and a disappointing record of 3-5as the favorite. They played poorly as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 1-3 record, and a 2-8 record SU.
The Phillies lead the season series, 2-1. The Reds have a 6-7 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Hamels takes the mound. Leake (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have inferior records against right-handed starting pitchers on the road and overall of 6-16 and 17-29, respectively.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN, O/U - Under
Cincinnati won its last game in a shutout, its second of the season. Philadelphia has been shut out five times this season.
The Phillies are 2-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Reds are 1-4 in such matchups.
The Phillies managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Reds who are heading in with a 13-8 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 16-8. The Phillies have a 14-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th in runs, Philadelphia has earned 186 this season. Cincinnati ranks 22nd with 218 runs.
Ranking 27th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 130 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top five at fifth with 185.
The Reds are 20-16 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Phillies are 12-14 when they hit at least one homer.