Marco Estrada (2-3, 3.77 ERA) and Brad Hand (1-1, 4.24 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (28-30) and the Miami Marlins (24-33) at the Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays come into this series hoping to extend a five-game winning streak. Action begins at 7:07 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 8 and can be seen on FSN-FL and RSN.
Estrada is 1-2 with a 6.44 ERA in his appearances against the Marlins, and goes up against a quality Miami offense which is batting .261 this season. Josh Donaldson (.308, 46 Rs, 15 HRs, 40 RBIs, 3 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 5. Hand went 6.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out two and walking two in a 5-2 win over the Cubs in his most recent start. Dee Gordon (.372, 32 Rs, 16 RBIs, 20 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Marlins, going 3 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Toronto is a -145 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Blue Jays have an overall money line of -381 and a record as the favorite of 17-12. Against the NL, they have a 1-2 record when they were the favorite and 3-3 SU. The Blue Jays have no trouble scoring as they lead the AL in offense with 5.2 runs per game. The Blue Jays are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits at home with a phenomenal 9.1 per game. Toronto's batters do not strike out very often at home, with only 6.2 per game. Toronto's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.3 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.5.
In games where it is the underdog, Miami has a 12-16 record and an overall money line of -1,166. Miami is 3-3 SU against American League opponents. The Marlins allow 4.2 runs per game, but does worse whenever an AL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 4.8 against teams from the AL.
The Blue Jays have a great 6-2 record at home (8-4 overall) against left-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Hand takes the mound. Estrada (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have inferior records against right-handed starting pitchers on the road and overall of 7-15 and 16-29, respectively.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
The Marlins won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Blue Jays are 4-12. The Marlins are 9-8 in close games this season.
The Marlins are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are 1-1 in such matchups.
The Marlins managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Blue Jays who are heading in with a 16-10 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 18-10. The Blue Jays have a 25-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking first in runs, Toronto has earned 303 this season. Miami ranks 22nd with 221 runs.
Ranking 24th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 134 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at fifth with 187.
When the Blue Jays hit at least one home run, they are 24-15. When the Marlins hit at least one homer, they have a 14-17 record.