This game could be low scoring as Masahiro Tanaka (3-1, 2.76 ERA) and the New York Yankees (32-25) go up against Max Scherzer (6-4, 1.85 ERA) and the Washington Nationals (30-27) in the first of a two-game series at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees enter this series looking to continue a six-game winning streak. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 9 and will air on MASN and YES.
In his most recent outing, Tanaka pitched 7.0 innings, allowing one run and striking out nine in a 3-1 victory over the Mariners. Brett Gardner (.278, 39 Rs, 5 HRs, 26 RBIs, 14 SBs) went 1 for 4 Sunday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs. In his pitching opportunities against the Yankees, Scherzer is 4-2 with a 3.79 ERA, 36 strikeouts and 18 walks. Denard Span (.291, 23 Rs, 5 HRs, 17 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 Sunday.
New York is a small +100 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. When playing as the underdog, the Yankees have a 15-14 record and overall money line at +465. They haven't been successful as the underdog against the National League, going winless at 0-2. The Yankees have one of the most prolific home offenses in the entire AL, averaging 5.3 runs per game. The Yankees are a power hitting team with 74 home runs, one of the highest totals in the MLB. New York's pitchers struggle against teams that play in the National League. The Yankees have given up an average of 4.8 runs to opponents from the NL, well over their defense's season average of 4.1 runs per game. An area where the Yankees are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 8.7 K's per game.
On the other side, the Nationals have a record of 26-20 when they are favored and are -388 overall with the money line. They have played poorly when rated as favorite as of late. They managed a 2-7 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 2-8. They sport the second-ranked offense in the NL, averaging four runs per game. Playing AL opponents really brings the worst out of the Washington pitchers. They allow 5.6 runs per game against teams in the AL, which is higher than their season average of 4.3.
The previous two games have all gone Washington's way. The Yankees will take on a right-hander (Scherzer) in this game and have a 23-19 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Tanaka will take the mound against the Nationals, who have a 21-23 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
New York has won 46% (12-14) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Washington has won 58% (15-11) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Yankees are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Nationals have a 7-12 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
The Yankees are coming into the game with six consecutive wins, while the Nationals currently have a losing streak of two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Yankees are 20-3. The Nationals have a 21-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking ninth in runs, Washington has earned 246 this season. New York ranks second with 265 runs.
Ranking 11th, New York is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 181 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 182.
When the Yankees hit at least one home run, they are 28-14, well-matched with the Nationals who are 22-11 when hitting one or more homers.