Miguel Gonzalez (5-4, 3.54 ERA) and Eduardo Rodriguez (2-0, 0.61 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (26-30) and the Boston Red Sox (27-31) at Camden Yards. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 9 and can be seen on NESN and MASN2.
Gonzalez is 5-1 with a 3.17 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, and 32 strikeouts against the Red Sox. Adam Jones (.311, 30 Rs, 9 HRs, 30 RBIs, 3 SBs) continued his strong play Sunday, going 2 for 5 with two runs, one home run, and one RBI. Rodriguez went 7.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out seven and walking two in a 6-3 win over the Twins in his most recent start. Hanley Ramirez (.277, 32 Rs, 13 HRs, 32 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Red Sox, going 2 for 4 Sunday with one run and one RBI.
Boston is a slim -108 favorite over Baltimore. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of seven runs. The Orioles have recorded an overall money line of -409 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 10-18. Within its division, Baltimore has a 10-8 as the underdog and a 15-17 SU. The Orioles have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 3.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.1 runs per game. The Orioles have no trouble scoring as they rank fourth in the AL in home offense with 4.6 runs per game. Baltimore's pitchers fall apart when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 4.7 against fellow AL East members, compared to its 4.1 season average.
In games where it is the favorite, Boston has a 18-21 record and an overall money line of -1,009. They have played poorly as the favorite with a 6-9 record against teams in their division, and a 5-5 record SU. Boston is excellent at drawing walks with 3.2 per game, ranking second in the AL. The Red Sox allow 4.5 runs per game, but does worse whenever another team from the AL East Division is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 5.4 against division foes.
The Orioles lead the season series, 4-3. The Orioles have a 5-6 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Rodriguez takes the mound. Gonzalez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Red Sox, who have a 19-22 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
The Orioles are 15-17 against their divisional rivals, while the Red Sox are 10-15 against their division.
The Orioles are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 12 strikeouts. The Red Sox have a record of 1-1 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 4-26. The Orioles have a 4-20 record when opponents outhit them.
Boston ranks in the top half of the league at 13th when it comes to home runs, hitting 54 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 62.
Baltimore and Boston both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Baltimore sits at 10th with 8.38 hits per game and Boston ranks ninth with 8.41.
Ranking 19th, Boston is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.694). Baltimore ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .712.
When the Red Sox allow at least one home run, they are 11-26, well-matched with the Orioles who are 14-21 when allowing at least one homer.