In the second of a three-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (29-30) and the Miami Marlins (29-30) at the Rogers Centre, Mark Buehrle (7-4, 4.35 ERA) and Dan Haren (6-2, 3.18 ERA) take the mound. The Blue Jays won the last game 11-3, extending a six-game winning streak. The game starts at 7:07 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 9 and will air on FSN-FL and RSN.
In his most recent outing, Buehrle pitched 9.0 innings, giving up zero runs, striking out two and walking one in an 8-0 victory over the Nationals. Josh Donaldson (.310, 47 Rs, 16 HRs, 43 RBIs, 3 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run, one home run, and three RBIs. In his career against the Blue Jays, Haren is 8-3 with a 4.99 ERA. He gets a solid Toronto offense that's batting .267. Giancarlo Stanton (.240, 36 Rs, 19 HRs, 49 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Marlins, going 3 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
Toronto, a -141 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Miami. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Blue Jays have a 17-12 record and overall money line at -381. They have a 1-2 record when they were the favorite and 3-3 SU against the National League. The Blue Jays come into the game with the top-ranked scoring offense in the AL, averaging 5.2 runs per game. The Blue Jays are a stellar hitting team with 9.2 hits per home game, one of the highest marks in the AL. They typically aren't overmatched by pitchers, ranking fifth in the AL with an average of only 7.3 strikeouts per game. The most recent 10 game stretch for Toronto's pitching staff has gone great. Over that span, Toronto's opponents are averaging 3.3 runs per game, below their season average of 4.5.
Moving on to the away team, the Marlins come into this game with a win percentage of .448 when playing as the underdog (13-16) and an overall money line of -1,066. Against AL opponents, they are 3-3 SU. Miami's pitching staff tends to perform poorly when they play competition from the AL. They've allowed an average of 4.8 runs per game against teams from the AL, higher than their season average of 4.2.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 1-0 against the Marlins. This game will feature Haren (RHP) on the mound against the Blue Jays, who have a 20-26 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The left-handed Buehrle will take the mound against the Marlins. Against lefty starters this season, they've racked up an impressive 7-4 record overall and 4-2 on the road.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
Miami has won 37% (10-17) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Toronto has won 56% (15-12) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Blue Jays are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 11 runs. The Marlins have a 0-3 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When outhit, the Blue Jays and the Marlins both have records of 3-22.
Ranking 25th in home runs, Miami has hit 43 this season. Toronto ranks fourth with 70 home runs.
Toronto and Miami both rank in the top five of the league in hits. Toronto sits at third with 8.90 hits per game and Miami ranks fourth with 8.98.
Ranking first in on-base plus slugging percentage, Toronto has an OPS of .777 this season. Miami ranks 21st with an OPS of .686.
The Marlins are 11-20 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Blue Jays are 17-23 when they allow at least one homer.