Charlie Morton (3-0, 2.84 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (31-27) go up against Kyle Lohse (3-6, 6.59 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (22-37) in the last of a three-game division series at PNC Park. The Brewers won the last game 4-1 and Milwaukee leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 10 and will air on FSN-WI and ROOT-PIT.
Morton is 2-6 with a 4.63 ERA against the Brewers in his career, but is up against a less-than-stellar Milwaukee offense that's hitting just .232 on the year. Andrew McCutchen (.286, 33 Rs, 8 HRs, 37 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. In his pitching opportunities against the Pirates, Lohse is 11-5 with a 4.02 ERA, 100 strikeouts and 32 walks.
Pittsburgh, a -152 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Milwaukee. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. The Pirates perform well as a favorite with a 25-14 record and have an overall money line of +109. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (4-1). The Pirates rank second in the NL in ERA with a 3.03 team average. The Pirates don't give up many walks to opposing batters at PNC Park, ranking third in the NL with only 2.3 walks allowed per home game. An area where the Pirates are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 8.3 K's per game.
On the other side, the Brewers have a record of 16-22 when they are the underdog and are -1,526 overall with the money line. They have played at the top of their game when rated as the underdog as of late. They managed a 5-2 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 5-5. The Milwaukee pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 8.4 strikeouts per game.
The Pirates have mostly come out on top against the Brewers in their previous eight games this season, earning a 5-3 record. This game will feature Lohse (RHP) on the mound against the Pirates, who have a 27-22 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Morton will take the mound against the Brewers. Against righty starters this season, they have an awful 16-30 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
The Pirates and the Brewers both have a 12-18 record against the division.
The Brewers are 2-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Pirates are 0-6 in such matchups.
The Brewers are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Pirates have a 7-14 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 6-29. The Pirates have a 4-18 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 19th in home runs, Pittsburgh has hit 49 this season. Milwaukee ranks 12th with 57 home runs.
Ranking 15th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.88 per game. Pittsburgh ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.75.
Ranking 28th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.663). Pittsburgh ranks in the bottom half at 19th with an OPS of .693.
When the Brewers allow at least one home run, they are 13-25, well-matched with the Pirates who are 9-18 when allowing at least one homer.