In the last of a three-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (30-30) and the Miami Marlins (30-30) at the Rogers Centre, Scott Copeland (0-0, 0.00 ERA) and Tom Koehler (4-3, 3.72 ERA) take the mound. The Blue Jays won the last game 4-3, extending a seven-game winning streak. The game starts at 12:37 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 10 and will air on RSN and MLB Network.
Josh Donaldson (.314, 49 Rs, 16 HRs, 43 RBIs, 3 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs. The Marlins were also victorious the last time Koehler pitched. He had a good outing, pitching, going 7.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out six and walking one in a 6-2 victory over the Rockies. Giancarlo Stanton (.245, 38 Rs, 21 HRs, 51 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Marlins, going 2 for 3 yesterday with two runs, two home runs, and two RBIs.
Toronto, a -148 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Miami. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is nine runs. The Blue Jays are in an interesting position this season. While they have a notable winning record in games where they're the favorite (18-12), their overall money line (-281) is less impressive. They have an SU record of 4-3 against the National League and a 2-2 record when they were the favorite in those games. The Blue Jays have the most prolific offense in the entire AL, averaging 5.3 runs per game. The Blue Jays are an exceptional hitting team with 9.3 hits per home game, one of the highest marks in the AL. They typically aren't overmatched by pitchers, ranking fifth in the AL with an average of only 7.3 strikeouts per game. Over their past 10 games, Toronto's pitchers have been playing lights out, only allowing 3.1 runs per game, below their season average of 4.4.
Moving on to the away team, the Marlins come into this game with a win percentage of .433 when playing as the underdog (13-17) and an overall money line of -1,166. Interleague opponents have been shutting down Miami this season. The Marlins hold a record of 0-1 in games where they were ranked as the underdog and a 3-4 SU. Playing AL opponents really brings the worst out of the Miami pitchers. They allow 5.7 runs per game against teams in the AL, which is higher than their season average of 4.3.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 2-0 against the Marlins. This game will feature Koehler (RHP) on the mound against the Blue Jays, who have a 20-26 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Marlins will be the right-hander Sanchez. Right-handed starters have been a big issue for them as they sport records of 8-16 on the road and 17-30 overall.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Marlins lost by a margin of one run. The Blue Jays are 5-12 in one-run games. The Marlins have a 9-9 record in close games.
When the Marlins play into extra innings, they have a 3-1 record. The Blue Jays are 1-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Marlins are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Blue Jays have a 6-7 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 3-22. The Blue Jays have a 4-22 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 23rd in home runs, Miami has hit 46 this season. Toronto ranks fourth with 71 home runs.
Toronto and Miami both rank in the top five of the league in hits. Toronto sits at third with 8.95 hits per game and Miami ranks fourth with 8.97.
Ranking 21st, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.689). Toronto ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .773.
The Marlins are 11-21 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Blue Jays are 18-23 when they allow at least one homer.