Jon Moscot (0-1, 7.20 ERA) and Jerome Williams (3-5, 5.68 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (26-31) and the Philadelphia Phillies (22-38) at the Great American Ball Park. The Reds won the last game 11-2 and Cincinnati leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 12:35 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 10 and can be seen on CSN-PHI.
Moscot pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs, striking out three and walking three in a 6-2 defeat to the Padres. Todd Frazier (.289, 39 Rs, 17 HRs, 37 RBIs, 6 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 3 for 5 with two runs, one home run, and one RBI. Against the Reds, Williams is 1-1 with a 5.14 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, and 18 strikeouts.
Cincinnati is a -139 favorite against Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. Though the Reds have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-743), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 15-10. Cincinnati is an impressive 4-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Reds have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.4 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.0 runs per game. The Reds have no trouble scoring as they rank fourth in the NL in home offense with 4.3 runs per game. Cincinnati leads the MLB in steals, swiping 56 bases. Turning to the pitchers, the Reds are the third-best team in the NL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 8.3 hits per game so far this season.
As for their opponent, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -1,108 and a disappointing record of 19-32 as the underdog.
The Reds lead the season series, 3-2. The Reds have an 18-24 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Williams takes the mound. Moscot (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have an 18-30 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN, O/U - Over
For the 11th time this season, the Phillies registered at least two errors in a game.
When the Phillies play into extra innings, they have a 2-2 record. The Reds are 1-4 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Phillies are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Reds have a 7-14 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 6-29. The Reds have a 6-21 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia ranks at the bottom of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting 36 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top five at fifth with 69.
Cincinnati and Philadelphia both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Cincinnati sits at 12th with 8.14 hits per game and Philadelphia ranks 14th with 7.90.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.645). Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at 10th with an OPS of .723.
The Phillies are 7-27 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Reds are 12-24 when they allow at least one homer.