In the second of a three-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (27-30) and the Boston Red Sox (27-30) at Camden Yards, Wei-Yin Chen (1-4, 3.18 ERA) and Rick Porcello (4-5, 5.01 ERA) get the start. The Orioles won the last game 1-0 and Baltimore leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 10 and will air on NESN, MASN and ESPN.
Chen is 5-4 with a 3.79 ERA, 59 strikeouts and 19 walks against the Red Sox in his career. Jimmy Paredes (.301, 24 Rs, 6 HRs, 26 RBIs, 3 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run and one RBI. In his career against the Orioles, Porcello is 3-6 with a 5.21 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, and 48 strikeouts.
Baltimore is a -122 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Orioles have a 16-12 record and overall money line at -409. They have a 15-17 record SU and are 10-8 as favorite within their division. The Orioles will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In the last 10 games, Baltimore has only averaged 3.0 runs per game compared to the 4.1 they've averaged on the season. The Orioles have one of the most prolific home offenses in the entire AL, averaging 4.6 runs per game. Whenever an AL East opponent shows up on the calendar, the Orioles seem to struggle with pitching. They allow an average of 4.1 runs per game, but allow 4.7 against teams from their own division.
On the other side, the Red Sox have a record of 9-10 when they are the underdog and are -1,009 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 5-5 SU and have a poor 0-1 record when they were an underdog to win. The Red Sox average 3.2 walks per game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the AL. Playing against AL East foes really brings the worst out of the Boston pitchers. They allow 5.4 runs per game against teams within their division, which is higher than their season average of 4.5.
The Orioles have gotten the best of the Red Sox in head-to-head matchups this season, going 5-3. This game will feature Porcello (RHP) on the mound against the Orioles, who have a 21-24 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The left-handed Chen will take the mound against the Red Sox, who have an 8-9 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
The Red Sox are struggling at 10-16 in their division, while the Orioles sit at 16-17.
Baltimore won its last game in a shutout, its third of the season. Boston has been shut out five times this season.
The Red Sox are 2-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Orioles are 1-1 in such matchups.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Red Sox are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Orioles have a 3-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 20-6. The Red Sox have a 23-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total runs this season, Baltimore ranks 21st with 231 runs and Boston is 24th with 221.
Ranking 23rd, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 138 this season. Boston ranks in the top five at fourth with 192.
The Orioles are 22-15 when they hit at least one home run. The Red Sox perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 20-16 record.