Shane Greene (4-5, 5.40 ERA) and Jake Arrieta (5-4, 3.04 ERA) take the hill in the second of a two-game series between the Detroit Tigers (31-28) and the Chicago Cubs (30-26) at Comerica Park. The Tigers won the last game 6-0 and Detroit leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:08 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 10 and can be seen on CSN-CHI and FSN-DET.
Greene pitched 4.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs (two unearned), striking out two and walking two in a 7-5 defeat to the Athletics. Miguel Cabrera (.330, 32 Rs, 12 HRs, 39 RBIs, 1 SB) had another good game yesterday, going 3 for 3 with one run and one RBI. Arrieta is 1-1 with a 3.71 ERA against the Tigers in his career. He takes on a quality Detroit offense that's batting .273. Kris Bryant (.282, 31 Rs, 7 HRs, 34 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
Chicago takes on Detroit as a -117 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Tigers have an overall money line of -110 and a record as the underdog of 11-11. Detroit has recorded a disappointing 1-4 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. The Tigers have seen a decline in scoring against teams in the NL, averaging 3.3 runs per game. They average 4.1 runs per game on the season. Detroit is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 46 bases. Detroit's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.3 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.2.
In games where it is the favorite, Chicago has a 18-14 record and an overall money line of +196. Chicago is 1-1 as the favorite and 1-1 SU against American League opponents. Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is third in the NL. The Cubs are an excellent base stealing team with 46 stolen bases, ranking fourth in the MLB. The Cubs have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.8 strikeouts per game.
The Tigers have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Tigers have a 21-22 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Arrieta takes the mound. Greene (RHP) will be on the hill against the Cubs, who have a 25-21 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Over
Detroit earned its sixth shutout of the season in its last game. Chicago has been shut out four times this season.
When the Cubs play into extra innings, they have a 6-2 record. The Tigers are 3-2 when their games exceed nine innings.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Cubs are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Tigers have a 6-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Tigers are 27-7. The Cubs have an 18-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd, Chicago sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 222 this season. Detroit ranks in the top half at 12th with 245.
Ranking seventh, Detroit is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 186 this season. Chicago ranks in the top five at fourth with 192.
When the Tigers hit at least one home run, they are 21-8, well-matched with the Cubs who are 19-12 when hitting one or more homers.