Williams Perez (1-0, 3.55 ERA) and Tyson Ross (3-5, 3.75 ERA) are on the hill in the third of a four-game series between the Atlanta Braves (28-30) and the San Diego Padres (30-30) at Turner Field. The Braves won the last game 6-5 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 10 and can be seen on FSN-SD and SPSO.
Perez pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out five and walking five in a 10-8 defeat to the Pirates. Freddie Freeman (.303, 38 Rs, 10 HRs, 35 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. Against the Braves, Ross is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and seven strikeouts. Justin Upton (.294, 39 Rs, 12 HRs, 38 RBIs, 12 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Padres, going 2 for 5 yesterday.
San Diego takes on Atlanta as a -120 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Braves have an overall money line of +124 and a record as the underdog of 18-24. The Braves have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.5 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.2 runs per game.
In the other locker room, San Diego is coming in with an overall money line of +79 and an impressive record of 18-9 as the favorite. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 6-2 record, and a 7-3 record SU. Offensively, they average 4.4 runs per game, which is good for fourth in the NL. San Diego is excellent at drawing walks with 3.0 per road game, ranking fifth in the NL.
The Braves have a 23-26 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Ross takes the mound. Perez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Padres, who have a 22-24 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Over
The Padres lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Braves are 11-10. The Padres are 7-9 in close games this season.
Atlanta has won 34% (11-21) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, San Diego has won 60% (18-12) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Braves are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded five strikeouts. The Padres have a record of 8-3 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
With records of 5-20 and 6-24 respectively, the Braves and the Padres both perform poorly when they are outhit by their opponent.
Atlanta ranks near the bottom of the league at 29th when it comes to home runs, hitting 38 this season. San Diego ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 49.
Atlanta and San Diego both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Atlanta sits at seventh with 8.56 hits per game and San Diego ranks ninth with 8.47.
Ranking 24th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.683). Atlanta ranks in the bottom half at 19th with an OPS of .692.
The Padres are 16-23 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Braves are 10-22 when they allow at least one homer.