Wade Miley (5-5, 4.67 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (27-33) are in Baltimore to go up against Chris Tillman (3-7, 5.61 ERA) and the Orioles (28-30) in a game that could be high scoring. This is the last of a three-game series at Camden Yards. The Orioles won the last game 5-2 and Baltimore leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 11 and will air on NESN, MASN and MLB Network.
Tillman is 8-3 with a 2.63 ERA, 82 strikeouts and 36 walks against the Red Sox in his career. Adam Jones (.306, 30 Rs, 9 HRs, 31 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Orioles, Miley is 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA, three strikeouts and three walks. Dustin Pedroia (.312, 28 Rs, 8 HRs, 23 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs.
Baltimore is a small -108 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Orioles are 16-12 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -303. They have a winless record (0-2) in games played as the favorite during their last 10 games. Baltimore has averaged 2.9 runs per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 4.0. The Orioles have one of the most prolific home offenses in the entire AL, averaging 4.5 runs per game. Whenever an AL East opponent shows up on the calendar, the Orioles seem to struggle with pitching. They allow an average of 4.0 runs per game, but allow 4.5 against teams from their own division.
On the other side, the Red Sox have a record of 9-10 when they are the underdog and are -1,125 overall with the money line. Against fellow AL East members, they are 10-16 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 4-6 record. The Red Sox average 3.2 walks per game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the AL. Playing against AL East foes really brings the worst out of the Boston pitchers. They allow 5.2 runs per game against teams within their division, which is higher than their season average of 4.5.
The Orioles have mostly come out on top against the Red Sox in their previous nine games this season, earning a 6-3 record. This game will feature Miley (LHP) on the mound against the Orioles, who have a 6-6 record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Red Sox will be the right-hander Tillman. They sport a 19-23 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
The Orioles are 17-17 against other teams in their division, while the Red Sox are 10-17 against their rivals.
When the Red Sox play into extra innings, they have a 2-1 record. The Orioles are 1-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Red Sox are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Orioles have a 15-21 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 4-27. The Orioles have a 4-20 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 13th in home runs, Boston has hit 54 this season. Baltimore ranks eighth with 62 home runs.
Baltimore and Boston both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Baltimore sits at 10th with 8.32 hits per game and Boston ranks ninth with 8.36.
Ranking 20th, Boston is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.689). Baltimore ranks in the top half at 15th with an OPS of .709.
When the Red Sox allow at least one home run, they are 11-26, well-matched with the Orioles who are 14-21 when allowing at least one homer.