In the first of a four-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (22-38) and the Washington Nationals (22-38) at Miller Park, Matt Garza (4-7, 5.09 ERA) and Tanner Roark (2-2, 3.16 ERA) get the ball. The game starts at 8:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 11 and will air on MASN2 and FSN-WI.
Garza is 0-3 with a 7.33 ERA and 1.78 WHIP against the Nationals in his career. In his career against the Brewers, Roark is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and five strikeouts. Denard Span (.299, 23 Rs, 5 HRs, 19 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 3 for 6 yesterday with two RBIs.
Milwaukee is a slight +101 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. When playing as the underdog, the Brewers have a 17-22 record and overall money line at -1,359. They are 6-2 as the underdog over their last 10 games. The most recent 10 game stretch for Milwaukee's pitching staff has gone great. Over that span, Milwaukee's opponents are averaging 3.1 runs per game, below their season average of 4.7. An area where the Brewers are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 8.3 K's per game.
On the other side, the Nationals have a record of 26-20 when they are favored and are -369 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 3-7 SU and have played poorly as the favorite with a 2-6 record. They sport the fifth-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 4.3 runs per game. The Nationals average 3.2 walks per game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the NL. Shifting to the pitching staff, they allow just 2.5 walks per game, second-best in the NL. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in the NL with an average of 7.8 strikeouts per road game.
This game will feature Roark (RHP) on the mound against the Brewers, who have a 7-16 home and 16-30 overall record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Nationals will be the right-hander Garza. They sport a 22-24 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - WSH, O/U - Over
The Nationals won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Brewers are 6-7. The Nationals are 11-6 in close games this season.
The Nationals are 4-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Brewers are 2-2 in such matchups.
The Nationals are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 10 strikeouts. The Brewers have a record of 4-12 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 15-4. The Nationals have a 22-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 26th in runs, Milwaukee has earned 218 this season. Washington ranks eighth with 252 runs.
Ranking 24th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 139 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 186.
The Brewers are 19-14 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Nationals are 23-12 when they hit at least one homer.