In the first of a four-game series between the Chicago Cubs (31-26) and the Cincinnati Reds (31-26) at Wrigley Field, Tsuyoshi Wada (0-1, 4.19 ERA) and Michael Lorenzen (1-1, 3.29 ERA) get the ball. The game gets underway at 8:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 11 and will air on FSN-OH and CSN-CHI.
In his most recent outing, Wada pitched 3.2 innings, allowing five runs, striking out one and walking two in a 7-5 loss to the Nationals. Anthony Rizzo (.327, 34 Rs, 11 HRs, 37 RBIs, 10 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 6 with one run and two RBIs. The Reds were unsuccessful to the Phillies 11-2 the last time Lorenzen pitched. He went 0.0 inning, allowing zero runs. Todd Frazier (.293, 41 Rs, 17 HRs, 37 RBIs, 6 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Reds, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs.
Chicago is a -157 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Cubs are 18-14 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +96. They have a 14-13 record SU and are 8-7 as favorite within their division. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking fourth in all of baseball with 46 steals. Chicago's pitching staff performs very well on its own field, recording a low 3.12 team ERA at home. The Cubs don't give up many hits to opposing batters at Wrigley Field, ranking second in the NL with only 7.9 hits allowed per home game.
Switching gears, the Reds come into this game with a weak win percentage of .323 when playing as the underdog (10-21) and an overall money line of -543. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-3 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 6-4. Cincinnati has been playing better lately, averaging 5.7 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.1. Cincinnati is a terror on the base paths, with an MLB-best 56 stolen bases. Switching gears to Cincinnati's pitching staff, they allow just 8.3 hits per game, good for third in the NL.
In their previous five games this season, the Cubs have a 4-1 record. The Cubs will take on a right-hander (Lorenzen) in this game and have a 25-22 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Wada will take the mound against the Reds, who have a 7-7 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - CHC, O/U - Over
This season, the Reds hold an even 12-12 record against NL Central teams. The Cubs sit at 14-13 against these opponents.
When the Cubs play into extra innings, they have a 6-2 record. The Reds are 1-4 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Reds are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Cubs have a 6-13 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 19-8. The Cubs have a 19-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 22nd in runs, Chicago has earned 234 this season. Cincinnati ranks 18th with 240 runs.
Ranking sixth, Cincinnati is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 190 this season. Chicago ranks in the top five at third with 197.
The Cubs are 20-12 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Reds are 23-16 when they hit at least one homer.