Brett Oberholtzer (0-1, 3.75 ERA) and Felix Hernandez (9-2, 2.51 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Houston Astros (34-27) and the Seattle Mariners (27-33) at Minute Maid Park. The Astros come into this series in the midst of a seven-game losing streak. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 12 and can be seen on ROOT-NW, ROOT-SW and MLB N.
Oberholtzer is 2-0 with a 1.20 ERA in his appearances against the Mariners, and goes up against a below-average Seattle offense which is batting just .236 this season. George Springer (.254, 27 Rs, 8 HRs, 19 RBIs, 13 SBs) had another good game Wednesday, going 5 for 5 with one stolen base. Hernandez is 3-2 with a 1.84 ERA when pitching against the Astros. He is up against a below-average Houston offense which is hitting just .233 this season.
Seattle takes on Houston as a -163 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Astros have an overall money line of +531 and a record as the underdog of 19-14. Houston has gone winless (0-5) as the underdog and 3-7 SU in its last 10 outings. The Astros have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 3.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.1 runs per game. The Astros are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 188. Houston is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 50 bases. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Astros, who have a team ERA of only 3.55. The Astros are the top team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.17 so far this season.
In games where it is the favorite, Seattle has a 18-20 record and an overall money line of -897. They played poorly as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 1-5 record, and a 3-7 record SU. Offensively, the Mariners have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.5 runs per game by averaging 2.5 during that stretch. Seattle's pitching staff is one of the top in the AL, with a 3.54 ERA.
The Astros have controlled the season series, 6-1. The Astros have a 22-14 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Hernandez takes the mound. Oberholtzer (LHP) will be on the hill against the Mariners, who have a 5-6 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Under
The Astros sit at 18-11 against their divisional rivals, while the Mariners are 13-12.
When the Astros play into extra innings, they have a 3-2 record. The Mariners are 4-5 when their games exceed nine innings.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Mariners are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Astros have a 3-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 14-12. The Astros have a 21-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th, Seattle sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 208 this season. Houston ranks in the top half at 14th with 249.
Ranking 17th, Seattle is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 166 this season. Houston ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 187.
The Astros are 26-16 when they hit at least one home run. The Mariners perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 23-15 record.