Bartolo Colon (8-4, 4.52 ERA) and Alex Wood (4-3, 3.36 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the New York Mets (32-29) and the Atlanta Braves (29-31) at Citi Field. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 12 and can be seen on FSN-S and SNY.
Colon is 6-2 with a 2.48 ERA in his appearances against the Braves, but goes up against a good Atlanta offense which is batting .257 this season. Michael Cuddyer (.270, 27 Rs, 6 HRs, 26 RBIs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 5 with two RBIs. Against the Mets, Wood is 0-2 with a 4.09 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, and 34 strikeouts. Freddie Freeman (.304, 39 Rs, 11 HRs, 37 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Braves, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
New York is a -130 favorite against Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +79 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 25-8. New York has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 17-5 and 21-11 records as the favorite and SU respectively. New York's pitchers put it all together when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game drops to 3.2 against fellow NL East members, compared to its 3.8 season average. The Mets are the second-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.17 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Atlanta has a 20-25 record and an overall money line of +246. They are 8-10 as the underdog against teams in their division, and 13-14 SU. Atlanta is excellent at not striking out with an NL-low 6.8 per game.
The Mets lead the season series, 4-2. The Mets have a 4-6 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Wood takes the mound. Colon (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 25-27 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets sit at 21-11 against their divisional rivals, while the Braves are 13-14.
When the Mets play into extra innings, they have a 2-0 record. The Braves are 1-3 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Braves managed to give up seven walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Mets who are heading in with a 3-0 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 22-10. The Mets have a 21-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd, New York is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 229 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 254.
Ranking 17th, New York is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 166 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 14th with 180.
When the Mets hit at least one home run, they are 21-10, well-matched with the Braves who are 18-10 when hitting one or more homers.