Jason Hammel (5-2, 2.76 ERA) and the Chicago Cubs (32-26) take on Johnny Cueto (4-4, 2.64 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (27-32) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the second of a four-game series at Wrigley Field. The Cubs won the last game 6-3 and Chicago leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 4:05 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 12 and can be seen on FSN-OH and WGN.
Hammel is 0-1 with a 5.22 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and 30 strikeouts against the Reds. Anthony Rizzo (.327, 36 Rs, 11 HRs, 37 RBIs, 10 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with two runs. When pitching against the Cubs, Cueto is 9-8 with a 3.24 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, and 100 strikeouts. Joey Votto (.298, 33 Rs, 13 HRs, 35 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Chicago is a narrow -113 favorite at home against Cincinnati. The Cubs have an overall money line of +196 and a record as the favorite of 19-14. Chicago is an impressive 3-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. Chicago is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 46 bases. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses that come to Wrigley Field have been stifled by the Cubs, who have a team ERA of only 3.12 at home. The Cubs are the second-best team in the NL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 7.9 hits per game to their opponents this season.
In the other locker room, Cincinnati is coming in with an overall money line of -543 and a disappointing record of 10-21 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-3 record, and a 6-4 record SU. Offensively, the Reds have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.1 runs per game by averaging 5.7 during that stretch. The Reds are an excellent base-stealing team with an MLB-best 56 stolen bases. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Reds are fifth in the NL with an average of 8.3 hits allowed per game.
The Cubs have controlled the season series, 5-1. The Cubs have a 26-22 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Cueto takes the mound. Hammel (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 20-24 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CHC
The Cubs hold a 15-13 record this season against teams in the NL Central Division. The Reds' record in these matchups is 12-13.
When the Cubs play into extra innings, they have a 6-2 record. The Reds are 1-4 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Reds managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Cubs who are heading in with a 12-4 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 19-8. The Cubs have a 20-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st, Chicago is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 240 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the bottom half at 18th with 243.
Ranking seventh, Cincinnati is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 192 this season. Chicago ranks in the top five at third with 202.
The Cubs are 21-12 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Reds are 23-17 when they hit at least one homer.