Mat Latos (1-4, 6.12 ERA) and David Hale (2-0, 4.12 ERA) take the hill in the third of a four-game series between the Miami Marlins (26-36) and the Colorado Rockies (27-33) at Marlins Park. The Marlins won the last game 5-1 and Miami leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 13 and can be seen on ROOT-RM and FSN-FL.
Latos is 5-2 with a 3.79 ERA in his appearances against the Rockies, and goes up against a quality Colorado offense which is batting .273 this season. Giancarlo Stanton (.254, 40 Rs, 22 HRs, 55 RBIs, 4 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run. Hale is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against the Marlins in his career. He is up against a good Miami offense that's batting .262. DJ LeMahieu (.349, 28 Rs, 3 HRs, 29 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Miami is a -135 favorite against Colorado and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Marlins have an overall money line of -1,266 and a record as the favorite of 12-17. The Marlins are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits with a phenomenal 9.0 per game. Turning to the pitchers, the Marlins are the fifth-best team in the NL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 8.5 hits per game to their opponents this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Colorado has a 22-21 record and an overall money line of -178. The Rockies have a dynamic offense, ranking fourth in the league with 186 extra base hits.
The Marlins lead the season series, 4-1. The Marlins have a bad 17-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Hale takes the mound. Latos (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rockies, who have a 24-24 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIA, O/U - Over
Miami has won 37% (11-19) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Colorado has won 46% (11-13) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Marlins are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Rockies have a 2-5 record when opponents give up that many walks.
It looks like the Marlins have a slight leg up on the Rockies, as the Marlins have won their last two games while the Rockies have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 20-11. The Rockies have a 21-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 22nd in runs, Miami has earned 240 this season. Colorado ranks seventh with 264 runs.
Miami and Colorado both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Miami sits at 24th with 142 this season and Colorado ranks 29th with 127.
The Marlins are 16-20 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Rockies are 24-17 when they hit at least one homer.