In a game that has the potential for a lot of runs, CC Sabathia (3-7, 5.25 ERA) and the New York Yankees (33-27) are in Baltimore to square off against Bud Norris (2-4, 8.63 ERA) and the Orioles (30-30). This is the second of a three-game series at Camden Yards. The Orioles won the last game 11-3, continuing a five-game winning streak. Action begins at 7:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 13 and can be seen on FOX.
Norris is 4-1 with a 4.02 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, and 37 strikeouts against the Yankees. Jimmy Paredes (.302, 26 Rs, 6 HRs, 28 RBIs, 3 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 3 for 5 with two runs and two RBIs. Sabathia is 18-7 with a 3.40 ERA against the Orioles in his career. He is up against a good Baltimore offense that's batting .256. Mark Teixeira (.250, 30 Rs, 17 HRs, 45 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Yankees, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
New York is a slim -110 favorite over Baltimore. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at eight runs for this matchup. The Orioles have recorded an overall money line of -103 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 11-18. Within its division, Baltimore has a 12-8 as the underdog and an 18-17 SU. The Orioles have seen an uptick in scoring against teams inside their division, averaging 4.5 runs per game. They average 4.1 runs per game on the season. Baltimore's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.0 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.0.
In the other locker room, New York is coming in with an overall money line of +436 and an impressive record of 18-12 as the favorite. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 4-1 record, and an 8-2 record SU. The Yankees have a dynamic offense, ranking fourth in the league with 186 extra base hits. New York is excellent at drawing walks with 3.1 per game, ranking fifth in the AL. The Yankees allow 4.1 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 2.9 runs per game during that span. When it comes to issuing walks, the Yankees have the third-fewest in the AL with an average of just 2.7 walks allowed per game. The Yankees have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 8.6 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Orioles have a 7-6 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Sabathia takes the mound. Norris (RHP) will be on the hill against the Yankees, who have a 24-19 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
The Orioles are 19-17 against their divisional rivals, while the Yankees are 16-14 against their division.
New York has won 45% (13-16) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Baltimore has won 56% (14-11) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Orioles are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 11 runs. The Yankees have a 0-3 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
It looks like the Orioles have a slight leg up on the Yankees, as the Orioles have won their last five games while the Yankees have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 23-6. The Yankees have a 21-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 12th, Baltimore is in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 253 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 278.
Ranking 23rd, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 144 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 189.
The Orioles are 24-15 when they hit at least one home run. The Yankees perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 29-15 record.