Clay Buchholz (3-6, 4.07 ERA) and R.A. Dickey (2-6, 5.35 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Boston Red Sox (27-35) and the Toronto Blue Jays (32-30) at Fenway Park. The Blue Jays won the last game 13-10, continuing a nine-game winning streak. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 13 and can be seen on RSN, NESN and MLB Network.
Buchholz is 12-9 with a 3.42 ERA in his appearances against the Blue Jays, and goes up against a good Toronto offense which is batting .268 this season. Dustin Pedroia (.308, 30 Rs, 9 HRs, 26 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs. When pitching against the Red Sox, Dickey is 6-5 with a 4.45 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, and 70 strikeouts. Josh Donaldson (.322, 51 Rs, 17 HRs, 45 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Blue Jays, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Boston is a -150 favorite against Toronto and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Red Sox have an overall money line of -1,339 and a record as the favorite of 18-22. Boston has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 6-10 and 10-18 as the favorite and SU respectively. Boston's batters do not strike out very often, with only 6.4 per game. Boston's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.3 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.5.
Over in the other dugout, Toronto is coming in with an overall money line of -81 and a disappointing record of 11-18 as the underdog. They are 6-10 as the underdog against teams in their division, and 14-14 SU. Offensively, they average 5.3 runs per game, which is tops in the AL. The Blue Jays are tough outs for opponents, ranking third in the AL with 8.9 hits per game. Toronto is excellent at drawing walks with 3.2 per game, ranking second in the AL. The Blue Jays allow 4.4 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 2.9 runs per game during that span.
The Blue Jays lead the season series, 4-3. The Red Sox have a 19-24 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Dickey takes the mound. Buchholz (RHP) will be on the hill against the Blue Jays, who have a 22-26 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
The Red Sox currently sit below .500 against the AL East Division at 10-19, and the Blue Jays have a 15-14 record.
When the Red Sox play into extra innings, they have a 2-1 record. The Blue Jays are 1-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Blue Jays are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 13 runs. The Red Sox have a 0-3 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 4-29. The Blue Jays have a 4-22 record when opponents outhit them.
Boston ranks in the top half of the league at 12th when it comes to home runs, hitting 58 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at fourth with 76.
Ranking 10th, Boston is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.33 per game. Toronto ranks in the top five at third with 8.89.
Ranking first in on-base plus slugging percentage, Toronto has an OPS of .782 this season. Boston ranks 21st with an OPS of .694.
When the Blue Jays allow at least one home run, they are 20-23. When the Red Sox allow one or more homers, they have an 11-28 record.