Mike Pelfrey (5-2, 2.28 ERA) starts for the Minnesota Twins (33-27) as they square off against Colby Lewis (5-3, 4.42 ERA) and the Texas Rangers (32-29) in the second of a three-game series at Globe Life Park in Arlington. The Rangers won the last game 6-2 and Texas leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 4:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 13 and can be seen on FSN-N and FSN-SW.
Lewis is 0-5 with a 7.28 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, and 24 strikeouts against the Twins. Prince Fielder (.346, 29 Rs, 10 HRs, 42 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with two runs. When pitching against the Rangers, Pelfrey is 0-1 with a 3.46 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, and 10 strikeouts. Brian Dozier (.262, 49 Rs, 12 HRs, 29 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and one RBI.
Texas is a -120 favorite against Minnesota and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Rangers have an overall money line of +1,234 and a record as the favorite of 3-3. Texas is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 6-4 SU record in its last ten outings. The Rangers are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits at home with an impressive 9.2 per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Minnesota has a 27-20 record and an overall money line of +1,364. Offensively, the Twins have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.2 runs per game by averaging 2.5 during that stretch. When it comes to issuing walks, the Twins have the fewest in the AL with only 2.3 walks allowed per game.
The Rangers have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Rangers have a 22-17 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Pelfrey takes the mound. Lewis (RHP) will be on the hill against the Twins, who have an 18-18 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TEX, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Texas is 13-15, while Minnesota is 9-12.
After a weak showing last week where they got in five hits, the Rangers need to step it up. The Twins have a record of 4-1 when opponents get five hits or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Rangers are 5-24. The Twins have a 6-24 record when opponents outhit them.
Minnesota ranks near the bottom of the league at 24th when it comes to home runs, hitting 47 this season. Texas ranks in the top half at 11th with 62.
Texas and Minnesota both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Texas sits at seventh with 8.55 hits per game and Minnesota ranks ninth with 8.34.
Ranking 27th, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.676). Texas ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .715.
When the Twins allow at least one home run, they are 18-21. When the Rangers allow one or more homers, they have a 15-24 record.