Collin McHugh (6-2, 4.34 ERA) and the Houston Astros (35-27) go up against Mike Montgomery (0-1, 2.08 ERA) and the Seattle Mariners (27-34) in the second of a three-game division series at Minute Maid Park. The Astros won the last game 10-0 and Houston leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 13 and will air on ROOT-NW and ROOT-SW.
McHugh is 5-2 with a 4.23 ERA against the Mariners in his career, and faces a struggling Seattle offense that's hitting just .235 on the year. George Springer (.255, 28 Rs, 8 HRs, 20 RBIs, 13 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run and one RBI. The Mariners were unsuccessful to the Rays 3-1 the last time Montgomery pitched. He went 7.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out three and walking one. Nelson Cruz (.326, 33 Rs, 18 HRs, 39 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
Houston is a -135 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Astros have a 15-13 record and overall money line at +531. They have an SU record of 18-11 against teams in their division and a 5-6 record when they were the favorite in those games. The Astros will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In the last 10 games, Houston has only averaged 3.0 runs per game compared to the 4.1 they've averaged on the season. The Astros rank second in the majors in extra base hits with 194. The Astros are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 50 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. As for the pitching staff, the Astros rank third in the AL in ERA with a 3.55 team average. The Astros don't allow many hitters to get on base, leading the league with a 1.16 WHIP.
Moving on to the away team, the Mariners come into this game with a win percentage of .409 when playing as the underdog (9-13) and an overall money line of -1,004. Against fellow AL West members, they are 13-12 SU and 3-4 as the underdog. During the last 10 games, they averaged 2.2 runs per game, below their 3.5 season average. Shifting to the pitching staff, they have the fourth-lowest ERA in the AL at 3.57.
The Astros had the upper hand against the Mariners in their previous eight games this season, earning a 7-1 record. This game will feature Montgomery (LHP) on the mound against the Astros, who have a 12-13 record when they take on a left-handed starter. The right-handed McHugh will take the mound against the Mariners, who have a 22-27 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Under
The Astros have a 19-11 record against the AL West Division, while the Mariners have split their meetings with divisional opponents, 13-13.
Houston earned its fourth shutout of the season in its last game. Seattle has been shut out five times this season.
The Astros are 3-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Mariners are 4-5 in such matchups.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Mariners are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Astros have a 4-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 14-12. The Astros have a 22-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th, Seattle sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 208 this season. Houston ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 259.
Ranking 18th, Seattle is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 169 this season. Houston ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 192.
The Astros are 27-16 when they hit at least one home run. The Mariners perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 23-15 record.