Gerrit Cole (9-2, 1.73 ERA) gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates (33-27) as they go up against Sean O Sullivan (1-4, 4.96 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (22-40) in the second of a three-game series at PNC Park. The Pirates won the last game 1-0 and Pittsburgh leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 4:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 13 and will air on CSN-PHI and ROOT-PIT.
Cole has a 2.60 ERA and a 2-1 record in his career against the Phillies, and faces a less-than-stellar Philadelphia offense that's hitting just .239 on the year. Starling Marte (.257, 32 Rs, 12 HRs, 42 RBIs, 11 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 7 with one RBI. In his career against the Pirates, O Sullivan is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and two strikeouts. Jeff Francoeur (.261, 13 Rs, 4 HRs, 20 RBIs) went 1 for 5 yesterday.
Pittsburgh is a considerable -264 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at seven runs. The Pirates perform well as a favorite with a 26-15 record and have an overall money line of +32. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (5-2). Don't expect the Pittsburgh hitters to swing wildly in their own ballpark. They average only 6.5 strikeouts per home game. Turning to the pitching staff, the Pirates rank second in the NL in ERA with a 2.99 team average. The Pirates don't give up many hits to opposing batters, ranking third in the NL with only 8.3 hits allowed per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Phillies come into this game with a weak win percentage of .358 when playing as the underdog (19-34) and an overall money line of -1,308. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 2-6 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 3-7.
The Pirates are 3-2 against the Phillies this season. This game will feature O Sullivan (RHP) on the mound against the Pirates, who have a 28-23 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Phillies will be the right-hander Cole. Right-handed starters have been a big issue for them as they sport records of 6-19 on the road and 18-32 overall.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Under
In their last game, the Phillies lost by a margin of one run. The Pirates are 8-11 in one-run games. The Phillies have an 8-10 record in close games.
When leading after 7 innings, Pittsburgh is 10-14, while Philadelphia is 10-21.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Pirates are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Phillies have a 6-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
It looks like the Pirates have a slight leg up on the Phillies, as the Pirates have won their last two games while the Phillies have lost their last four.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 14-5. The Pirates have a 24-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia sits at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 194 this season. Pittsburgh ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 245.
Pittsburgh and Philadelphia both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Pittsburgh sits at 22nd with 150 this season and Philadelphia ranks 27th with 140.
When the Pirates hit at least one home run, they are 21-14. When the Phillies hit at least one homer, they have a 12-14 record.